Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 17

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Tamme Stadium (Tartu)

Referee: Pukk M. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV


	Tammeka		Narva Trans

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.40	3.10
	1.95	3.40	3.40
	2.12	3.40	3.41
	1.84	3.73	3.88	Watch
	2.05	3.20	3.10
	2.06	3.51	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.91)	3.44 ↓ (3.64)	3.37 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tammeka
46%

Draw
26.7%

Narva Trans
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

25.5%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.4%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tammeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Narva Trans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tammeka than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tammeka - Narva Trans Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tammeka will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Lapa K. (G) 3. Pedro Manoel 44. Kangaslahti O. (C) 28. Kallas R. 23. Veelma P. 10. Uggeri G. 7. Thomas Lisboa 99. Hydara M. 79. Marin P. 89. Kauan Pereira 19. Koskor T.	27. Pareiko D. (G) 17. Skinjov A. 5. Campagna C. 12. Eriks Santos 14. Filatov A. 6. Slein G. 22. Zuravljov E. 9. Doke J. 39. Poliakov D. (C) 8. Agaptsev S. 10. Gero A.
Substitutes
17. Ignatius C. 14. Karis K. 6. Karis M. 77. Kiidjarv C. (G) 8. Kiidron K. 22. Lang T. 9. Miil M. 11. Muur R. 29. Silov R. 4. Vaino M. 25. Viinapuu A.	47. Baljabkin N. 88. Besigirskis A. 25. Burjanadze S. 70. Imeh J. 4. Ivanyushin A. 23. Jegorov A. 16. Kondrattsev S. 29. Kudriashov V. 28. Miranda da Silva K. 66. Petkus E. 1. Zahharov M. (G)
Coaches
Voolaid K.	Elysee

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Skinjov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Poliakov D. ↓, Ivanyushin A. ↑,
55', Uggeri G. 🟨,
63', Hydara M. ↓, Ignatius C. ↑,
64', Uggeri G. ↓, Karis M. ↑,
67', Filatov A. 🟨,
68', Skinjov A. ↓, Burjanadze S. ↑,
69', Kauan Pereira ↓, Muur R. ↑,
69', Kallas R. ↓, Miil M. ↑,
75', Karis M. 🟨,
79', Eriks Santos ↓, Kondrattsev S. ↑,
80', Baljabkin N. 🟨,
85', Ignatius C. ↓, Lang T. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 0, Koskor T. ⚽,
90+8', Agaptsev S. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Esiliiga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tammeka won 2.

Tammeka is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Narva Trans has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Tammeka has had a series of home games.

In this match, Tammeka is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tammeka won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tammeka won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Tammeka	29	14	2	13	37:47	-10	44
10	Narva	29	5	4	20	22:65	-43	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tammeka Tartu
Estonian Meistriliiga
17.06.26	Nõmme Kalju - Tammeka	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Tammeka - Pärnu Vaprus	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	Tammeka - Levadia Tallinn	0:1 ✺
15.05.26	Tammeka - Nõmme United	3:1 ✺
08.05.26	Tammeka - Kuressaare	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WTLWW
- Narva Trans
Estonian Meistriliiga
16.06.26	Kuressaare - Narva Trans	0:0 ✺
13.06.26	Narva Trans - Nõmme United	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Harju JK Laagri - Narva Trans	3:0 ✺
20.05.26	Narva Trans - Paide LM	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Narva Trans - Flora Tallinn	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
07.04.26	Narva Trans - Tammeka	3:0
Club Friendly
17.01.26	Narva Trans - Tammeka	1:2
Estonian Meistriliiga
08.11.25	Tammeka - Narva Trans	2:0
09.08.25	Narva Trans - Tammeka	4:1
03.05.25	Narva Trans - Tammeka	4:0
13.04.25	Tammeka - Narva Trans	1:2
03.11.24	Tammeka - Narva Trans	3:3

Upcoming Matches