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Current Win Probability
Tammeka 48%
Draw 24.6%
Narva Trans 27.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42%
27%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
24.5%
34.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tammeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tammeka's performance.
Narva Trans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tammeka than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tammeka that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Narva Trans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
0%
40%
Tammeka - Narva Trans Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Tammeka will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Narva Trans will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Narva Trans (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Lapa K. (G) 17. Amijekori J. 99. Hydara M. 44. Kangaslahti O. 79. Marin P. 27. Ounpuu L. 24. Pedmanson H. 3. Pedro Manoel 9. Sambe M. 7. Thomas Lisboa 10. Uggeri G.
30. Venteo I. (G) 8. Agaptsev S. 48. Awusi W. 47. Baljabkin N. 3. Berardozzi T. 5. Campagna C. 12. Eriks Santos 14. Filatov A. 10. Gero A. 6. Slein G. 7. Velijev M.
Substitutes
89. Kauan Pereira 8. Kiidron K. 13. Laabus R. 22. Lang T. 11. Muur R. 12. Sahtel K. (G) 29. Silov R. 4. Vaino M. 25. Viinapuu A.
88. Besigirskis A. 24. Betancor Y. 9. Doke J. 19. Elysee 4. Ivanyushin A. 16. Kondrattsev S. 28. Miranda da Silva K. 66. Petkus E. 39. Poliakov D. 17. Skinjov A.
Coaches
Voolaid K.
Campana D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', Uggeri G. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Gero A. ⚽, Velijev M. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Sambe M. ⚽, Amijekori J. (A),
39', Baljabkin N. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
49', 2 - 1, Marin P. ⚽,
53', Filatov A. 🟨,
69', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
86', Pedmanson H. 🟥,
88', 3 - 1, Silov R. ⚽, Sambe M. (A),
90+1', 4 - 1, Sambe M. ⚽, Pedro Manoel (A),
90+7', 5 - 1, Pedro Manoel ⚽, Sambe M. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tammeka won 4.
Tammeka has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Narva Trans has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Tammeka is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tammeka has recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:24 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tammeka against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 14:8 goals (averaging 1.6:0.9 per game).