Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Lynn Family Stadium (Louisville, KY)

Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	CBS Sports Network, NESN Plus, Paramount+


	Louisville City		Tampa Bay Rowdies

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.87	3.4	3.4
	1.92	3.45	3.55
	1.94	3.6	3.87
	2	3.44	3.58	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.5
	1.86	3.4	3.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.9)	3.43 ↑ (3.42)	3.61 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louisville City
47.8%

Draw
26.7%

Tampa Bay Rowdies
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

26.9%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

27.8%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Louisville City will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Faundez D. (G) 4. Totsch S. 24. Jones J. 32. Adams K. (C) 13. Dia A. 8. Davila T. 6. Duncan Z. 2. McFadden A. 47. Akale M. 9. Donovan C. 7. Serrano R.	1. Waite J. (G) 26. Acoff D. 3. Schaefer B. 62. Dossantos N. (C) 20. Ostrem C. 27. Wyke L. 23. Schneider M. 13. Perez L. 30. Cruz S. 8. Pedro Becker 9. Myers M.
Substitutes
27. Davila E. 1. Fauroux H. (G) 23. Gleadle S. 21. Huerman Q. 15. Perez E. 14. Showunmi T. 25. Wilson J.	7. Conway E. 14. Henderlong K. 5. Leerman Y. 19. LeFlore I. 16. Micaletto M. 24. Pack A. (G) 11. Vivi Quesada G.
Coaches
Bird S.	Casciato D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Duncan Z. 🟨,
43', Cruz S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Wyke L. ↓, Conway E. ↑,
52', Adams K. 🟨,
58', Pedro Becker ↓, Leerman Y. ↑,
70', Akale M. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
70', McFadden A. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Myers M. ⚽,
77', Perez L. ↓, Micaletto M. ↑,
82', Serrano R. ↓, Showunmi T. ↑,
82', Duncan Z. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
82', Dia A. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
86', Schneider M. 🟨,
90+1', Myers M. ↓, Henderlong K. ↑,
90+3', Micaletto M. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 2, Schneider M. ⚽, Cruz S. (A),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 3.

Recent form of Louisville City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tampa Bay is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Louisville City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Louisville City has had a series of away games.

Louisville City could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisville City FC
USL Championship
23.05.26	Miami - Louisville City	4:3 ✺
USL Cup
17.05.26	Union Omaha - Louisville City	1:5 ✺
USL Championship
09.05.26	Louisville City - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Detroit City - Louisville City	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
29.04.26	Houston Dynamo - Louisville City	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL
- Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship
23.05.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising	3:0 ✺
20.05.26	New Mexico United - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	Miami - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:4 ✺
USL Championship
09.05.26	Rhode Island - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
07.06.25	Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:1
19.04.25	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City	1:2
12.10.24	Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:1
15.06.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City	3:2
14.10.23	Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:3
09.09.23	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City	2:1
05.11.22	Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:0 ET

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