Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Al Lang Stadium (St. Petersburg)

Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)


	Tampa Bay Rowdies		Memphis 901

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.6	3.1
	2.19	3.66	3.05
	2	3.54	3.13	Watch
	2.12	3.45	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.85)	3.56 ↑ (3.5)	3.08 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Rowdies
44%

Draw
26%

Memphis 901
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

26%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

25%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tampa Bay Rowdies's form might have worsened.

Memphis 901 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Memphis 901's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tampa Bay Rowdies, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Memphis 901 than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Memphis 901, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tampa Bay Rowdies - Memphis 901 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sparrow C. (G) 22. Doherty J. 19. Kleemann F. 21. Harris D. 2. Antley W. C. 4. Hilton L. (C) 7. Ekra Y. 98. Perez J. 14. Dennis C. 26. Jennings C. 9. Williams J.	1. Romig A. (G) 37. McFadden A. 8. Turci L. 16. Smith G. 27. Peters J. 23. Paul L. (C) 6. Molloy A. 9. Nascimento L. 18. Kelly J. 14. Ward A. 10. Da Costa R.
Substitutes
15. Breno P. (G) 23. Dalgaard S. 16. LaCava J. 30. Martinez A. 77. Mkosana L.	77. Borczak D. 5. Careaga S. 24. Dally R. 11. Kissiedou L. 7. Lapa B. 20. Pickering N. 26. Seeger A. (G)
Coaches
Law N.	Glass S.

Preview

Tampa Bay is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 3.

Tampa Bay is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Memphis is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Memphis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tampa Bay will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Tampa Bay won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship
16.09.23	San Antonio - Tampa Bay Rowdies	3:3 ✺
09.09.23	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City	2:1 ✺
06.09.23	Memphis 901 - Tampa Bay Rowdies	3:2 ✺
02.09.23	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Hartford Athletic	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Miami - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWLWW
- Memphis 901
USL Championship
20.09.23	Birmingham Legion - Memphis 901	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Memphis 901 - Hartford Athletic	4:2 ✺
09.09.23	Memphis 901 - Monterey Bay	0:1 ✺
06.09.23	Memphis 901 - Tampa Bay Rowdies	3:2 ✺
02.09.23	Detroit City - Memphis 901	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
06.09.23	Memphis 901 - Tampa Bay Rowdies	3:2
30.10.22	Memphis 901 - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:1
02.07.22	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Memphis 901	2:0
27.04.22	Memphis 901 - Tampa Bay Rowdies	3:1
24.08.19	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Memphis 901	5:0
09.03.19	Memphis 901 - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:1

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