Match Info

National League - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground (Aldershot)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	DAZN
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New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
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Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN
World	DAZN National League


	Aldershot Town		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.60	2.40
	2.40	3.40	2.40
	2.48	3.50	2.50
	2.59	3.68	2.58
	2.39	3.76	2.6	Watch
	2.55	3.60	2.55
	2.56	3.68	2.46
	2.49	3.60	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.19)	3.6 ↓ (3.63)	2.5 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
37.2%

Draw
25.7%

Tamworth
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

25.3%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

24.1%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aldershot Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tamworth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aldershot Town - Tamworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hayes N. (G) 2. Efete M. 5. Oshilaja K. (C) 12. Stickland M. 20. Wyllie M. 6. Odusanya D. 11. Sandah H. 23. Lawless C. 18. Adom-Malaki N. 21. Peart B. 9. Dinanga M.	1. Singh J. (G) 2. Lyttle T. 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 12. Rye J. 16. Calder R. 19. McGlinchey T. 25. Howley R. 8. Milnes B. (C) 7. Acquaye B. 10. Donnelly K. 20. Tshikuna N.
Substitutes
7. Abrahams T. 4. Borgnis J. 17. Dyce T. 3. Harfield O. 40. Macaulay J. (G) 16. Matton J. 24. Oladunjoye E.	14. Dyson O. 3. Handley T. 23. Hutchinson J. 4. Kurtaran T. 39. Lovett R. (G) 5. Parkes T. 30. Roberts M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Peart B. ⚽, Sandah H. (A),
19', 2 - 0, Efete M. ⚽,
29', Lyttle T. 🟨,
31', Milnes B. ↓, Dyson O. ↑,
33', 3 - 0, Dinanga M. ⚽, Peart B. (A),
44', 4 - 0, Efete M. ⚽, Lawless C. (A),
45+5', Howley R. ↓, Kurtaran T. ↑,
45+9', Lawless C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lyttle T. ↓, Handley T. ↑,
46', Rye J. ↓, Parkes T. ↑,
46', Oshilaja K. 🟨,
51', 5 - 0, Dinanga M. ⚽,
63', Lawless C. ↓, Borgnis J. ↑,
70', Adom-Malaki N. ↓, Abrahams T. ↑,
70', Sandah H. ↓, Harfield O. ↑,
74', Tshikuna N. ↓, Roberts M. ↑,
82', Odusanya D. ↓, Matton J. ↑,
90+2', 5 - 1, Acquaye B. ⚽, Donnelly K. (A),

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 8th and 21st in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 0.

Aldershot has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Tamworth is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Aldershot has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:9 (averaging 2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aldershot against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 9:4 goals (averaging 3:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Aldershot	13	5	3	5	18:16	2	18
18	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21:30	-9	14

Last Results with these Odds

Aldershot Town - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 41.86%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Tamworth - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 32.87%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English National League
19.09.26	Barrow - Aldershot Town	1:0 ✺
English National League North
15.09.26	Aldershot Town - Yeovil Town	1:1 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Solihull Moors - Aldershot Town	1:2 ✺
English National League Cup
08.09.26	Aldershot Town - West Ham United U21	0:3 ✺
English National League
05.09.26	Aldershot Town - Halifax Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTWLW
- Tamworth
English National League
19.09.26	Tamworth - Wealdstone	2:1 ✺
English National League North
15.09.26	Southend United - Tamworth	3:1 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Harrogate Town - Tamworth	3:1 ✺
English National League Cup
09.09.26	Tamworth - Middlesbrough U21	1:3 ✺
English National League
05.09.26	Tamworth - Boston United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
14.02.26	Tamworth - Aldershot Town	1:1
18.10.25	Aldershot Town - Tamworth	1:2
25.01.25	Aldershot Town - Tamworth	2:2
26.08.24	Tamworth - Aldershot Town	3:2
08.03.14	Tamworth - Aldershot Town	1:0
21.12.13	Aldershot Town - Tamworth	6:0

Aldershot Town - Tamworth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide