Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 9

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: The Lamb Ground (Tamworth)


	Tamworth		Maidenhead United

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.7
	2.37	3.1	2.6
	2.45	3.3	2.8
	2.63	3.27	2.75
	2.52	3.24	2.78	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.5
	2.5	3.15	2.72
	2.45	3.3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.93)	3.25 ↓ (3.5)	2.71 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
37.3%

Draw
28.5%

Maidenhead United
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

26.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

25.8%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tamworth's performance.

Maidenhead United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maidenhead United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maidenhead United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tamworth - Maidenhead United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Singh J. (G) 16. Acquaye B. 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 11. Fairlamb L. 26. Hollis H. 19. McGlinchey T. 8. Milnes B. 15. Morrison G. 28. Sundire M. 20. Tshikuna N. 12. Wreh C.	13. Ross C. (G) 23. Abrahams T. 32. Ajose J. 25. Barratt S. 8. Ferguson N. 26. Golding J. 6. Latty-Fairweather T. 5. Lokko K. 16. Pettit C. 17. Smith R. 22. Welch-Hayes M.
Substitutes
22. Beck-Ray E. 9. Creaney D. 5. Digie K. 23. Lissimore K. 27. Okafor M. 4. Tonks T. 14. Williams K.	7. Carvalho R. 19. Cochrane O. 1. Collins H. (G) 24. Massey A. 9. McCoulsky S. 14. Sho-Silva T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Ferguson N. 🟨,
39', Latty-Fairweather T. ↓, Cochrane O. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 0, Wreh C. ⚽, Hollis H. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 2 - 0, Acquaye B. ⚽, Tshikuna N. (A),
60', Ferguson N. ↓, McCoulsky S. ↑,
65', Abrahams T. ↓, Sho-Silva T. ↑,
70', Pettit C. 🟨,
76', Wreh C. ↓, Creaney D. ↑,
79', Milnes B. ↓, Tonks T. ↑,
79', Barratt S. ↓, Carvalho R. ↑,
79', 3 - 0, Tshikuna N. ⚽, Creaney D. (A),
85', McGlinchey T. ↓, Beck-Ray E. ↑,
88', Acquaye B. ↓, Williams K. ↑,
90+3', Tshikuna N. ↓, Okafor M. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, Sho-Silva T. ⚽, Ajose J. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 20).

Tamworth is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Maidenhead is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Maidenhead could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League
07.09.24	Eastleigh - Tamworth	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Barnet - Tamworth	7:0 ✺
26.08.24	Tamworth - Aldershot Town	3:2 ✺
24.08.24	Boston United - Tamworth	1:1 ✺
20.08.24	Tamworth - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWTL
- Maidenhead United
English National League
10.09.24	Rochdale - Maidenhead United	3:1 ✺
07.09.24	Maidenhead United - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Aldershot Town - Maidenhead United	4:3 ✺
26.08.24	Maidenhead United - Barnet	3:1 ✺
24.08.24	Fylde - Maidenhead United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTLWT

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