Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - APERTURA - ROUND 12

Date: 5 October 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Akron (Zapopan)

Referee: Armenta J. (Mex)


	Tapatío		Cimarrones de Sonora

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.15	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.22	3.31	3.43
	2.15	3.25	3
	2.11	3.28	3.3	Watch
	2.17	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.2)	3.25 ↓ (3.28)	3.19 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tapatío
42.8%

Draw
28.3%

Cimarrones de Sonora
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

27.2%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tapatío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Cimarrones de Sonora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Tapatío - Cimarrones de Sonora Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tapatío will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Cimarrones de Sonora will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Garcia E. (G) 42. Aguayo J. 50. Chavez Garcia M. 54. Gomez M. 47. Macias O. 33. Munoz Z. 58. Organista A. 52. Puente L. 56. Sanchez B. 43. Sepulveda L. 44. Zamora S.	30. Espinoza G. (G) 8. Acuna F. 6. Arellano A. 17. Cisneros D. 11. Jimenez D. 21. Lopez F. 3. Manriquez S. 14. Monarrez F. 20. Navarro B. 7. Peralta J. 23. Reyes J.
Substitutes
49. Garcia G. 189. Garcia G. 57. Guajardo D. 48. Magana D. 53. Martinez G. 61. Nuno A. (G) 66. Palma A. 65. Rey L. 62. Tepa 55. Wilke T.	33. Angulo O. 28. Bernal A. 25. Castro E. (G) 5. Haro J. 16. Lopez D. 99. Melendez J. 111. Molina P. 172. Orrantia E. 19. Ortiz C. 18. Rodriguez Leyva C. S.
Coaches
Ortega A.	Hernandez R.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tapatío won 1.

Tapatío is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Cimarrones de Sonora is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tapatío could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tapatío will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Tapatío won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Tapatío won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
30.09.23	Atlante - Tapatío	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Tapatío - Tepatitlán de Morelos	2:2 ✺
17.09.23	Atlético Morelia - Tapatío	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.09.23	San Antonio - Tapatío	1:4 ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
07.09.23	Tapatío - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TTTWW
- Cimarrones de Sonora
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
26.09.23	Cimarrones de Sonora - Atlético Morelia	3:2 ✺
19.09.23	Cancún - Cimarrones de Sonora	5:2 ✺
05.09.23	Celaya - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:1 ✺
30.08.23	Atlético La Paz - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:1 ✺
23.08.23	Cimarrones de Sonora - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
16.03.23	Tapatío - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:0
14.09.22	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tapatío	1:1
21.04.22	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tapatío	2:1
27.02.22	Tapatío - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:0
27.07.21	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tapatío	0:0
17.03.21	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tapatío	1:1

Upcoming Matches