Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 23Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday
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Tarancón |
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Illescas |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.5 |
3.65 |
5.9 |
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 |
1.61 |
3.66 |
5.39 |
 Watch |
 |
1.5 |
3.3 |
7 |
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 |
1.47 |
3.54 |
7.18 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↑
(1.38) |
3.54 ↓
(4) |
6.37 ↓
(7.85) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tarancón
59.9% | Draw
25.8% | Illescas
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tarancón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tarancón's form might have worsened.Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarancón than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tarancón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-3.2%)Tarancón - Illescas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Fizesan M. ⚽,
- 36', 2 - 0, Fizesan M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 85', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+6', 🟥,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: ) and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tarancón won 1.Tarancón is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Illescas is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Tarancón is the undeniable favorite.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tarancón won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).Including home matches between the teams, Tarancón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Illescas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
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| 8 | Tarancon | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 | | | 11.10.25 | Illescas - Tarancón | 0:2 | | 04.02.23 | Tarancón - Illescas | 1:1 | | 02.10.22 | Illescas - Tarancón | 1:1 | | 02.04.22 | Tarancón - Illescas | 0:2 | | 04.12.21 | Illescas - Tarancón | 1:0 | | 14.03.21 | Illescas - Tarancón | 1:0 |
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