The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Audace Cerignola 56.3%
Draw 25.8%
Sorrento 17.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.5%
25.3%
19.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
19.7%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Audace Cerignola that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sorrento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Audace Cerignola - Sorrento Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Iliev V. (G) 2. Todisco G. 5. Martinelli L. 23. Gasbarro A. 99. Parlato C. 10. Paolucci L. 58. Cretella C. 83. Ruggiero Z. 3. Russo L. 9. Gambale D. 33. D'Orazio L.
1. Del Sorbo L. (G) 46. Colombini L. 15. Solcia D. 6. Fusco F. 81. Portanova D. 4. Potenza A. 8. Cuccurullo M. 28. Capezzi L. 3. Crecco L. 90. Sabbatani A. 7. D'Ursi E.
Substitutes
17. Ballabile E. 37. Bassino A. 45. Cocorocchio M. 7. Dabizas A. 8. Di Tommaso L. 22. Fares G. (G) 39. Iervolino A. 86. Labranca R. 15. Ligi A. 24. Moreso O. 26. Nanula D. 1. Russo A. (G) 25. Spaltro R. 90. Tarantino J. 4. Vitale G.
20. Bernabeo S. 23. Cangianiello S. 31. D'Aniello A. (G) 35. Diop S. 22. Harrasser S. (G) 21. Matera A. 85. Milan M. 32. Paglino S. 16. Ricci F. 29. Santini C. 18. Tonni M. 30. Vilardi M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Ruggiero Z. ⚽,
6', Colombini L. 🟨,
25', 1 - 1, D'Ursi E. ⚽,
41', Parlato C. ↓, Spaltro R. ↑,
45', Gasbarro A. ↓, Ligi A. ↑,
45+8', 2 - 1, Gambale D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Todisco G. 🟨,
59', Colombini L. ↓, Ricci F. ↑,
59', Potenza A. ↓, Cangianiello S. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, ⚽,
67', Spaltro R. 🟨,
68', Ricci F. 🟨,
69', 🟨,
71', 3 - 2, Gambale D. ⚽,
74', Portanova D. ↓, Paglino S. ↑,
80', D'Ursi E. 🟨,
80', Ruggiero Z. ↓, Vitale G. ↑,
81', D'Orazio L. ↓, Tarantino J. ↑,
81', Cretella C. ↓, Moreso O. ↑,
84', Cuccurullo M. ↓, Santini C. ↑,
89', 🟨,
90+4', Sabbatani A. 🟨,
90+5', Martinelli L. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Audace Cerignola won 3.
In recent matches, Audace Cerignola has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sorrento is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Audace Cerignola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Audace Cerignola is seen as the favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Audace Cerignola won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Audace Cerignola won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
Italy
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Iliev V. (G) 
Todisco G. 
Dabizas A. 
Moreso O. 
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