Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 27

Date: 19 February 2024, Monday


	Sorrento		Virtus Francavilla

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3	3.4
	2.1	3.1	3.6
	2.16	3.05	3.47
	2.11	3.1	3.85
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.01	3.1	3.62
	2.05	3.05	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.65)	3.06 ↓ (3.6)	3.56 ↓ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sorrento
44.1%

Draw
30.1%

Virtus Francavilla
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

25.5%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

24.5%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sorrento's form might have worsened.

Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Virtus Francavilla's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sorrento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Virtus Francavilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sorrento - Virtus Francavilla Predictions

Users Predictions: Sorrento will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. del Sorbo L. (G) 2. Todisco G. 6. Fusco F. 9. Blondett E. 27. Loreto C. 3. Vitale G. 15. De Francesco A. 4. La Monica G. 10. Martignago R. 91. Ravasio M. 98. Riccardi P.	89. Branduani P. (G) 3. De Marino D. 14. Molnar I. 15. Dutu E. 7. Biondi K. 8. Di Marco T. 21. Risolo A. 30. Macca F. 23. Nicoli S. 9. Artistico G. 11. Neglia S.
Substitutes
97. Albertazzi M. (G) 11. Badje I. 30. Bonavolonta A. 77. Capasso C. 19. Colombini L. 22. D'Aniello A. (G) 26. Di Somma V. 92. Morichelli R. 84. Petrone 7. Scala S. 33. Vitiello A.	40. Accardi A. 20. Agostinelli V. 17. Carella F. 1. Carretta F. (G) 18. Contini G. 99. Garofalo V. 6. Gasbarro A. 19. Izzillo N. 27. Laaribi M. 12. Lucatelli I. (G)

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Sorrento will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sorrento won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie C Group C
14.02.24	ACR Messina - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Sorrento - Picerno	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Sorrento - Crotone	1:1 ✺
29.01.24	Avellino - Sorrento	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Sorrento - Turris	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LLTWW
- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
14.02.24	Virtus Francavilla - Turris	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Giugliano - Virtus Francavilla	2:1 ✺
03.02.24	ACR Messina - Virtus Francavilla	3:2 ✺
26.01.24	Virtus Francavilla - Foggia	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Crotone - Virtus Francavilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
15.10.23	Virtus Francavilla - Sorrento	1:5

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