Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 25

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Giugliano		Virtus Francavilla

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.1
	2.15	3.2	3.3
	2.15	3.1	3.09
	2.24	3.1	3.4
	2.1	3	3.3
	2.14	3.04	3.33	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	3.25 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giugliano
42.4%

Draw
29.6%

Virtus Francavilla
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

28.2%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

26.8%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giugliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giugliano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Giugliano - Virtus Francavilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Russo D. (G) 20. Valdesi A. 28. Cargnelutti R. 24. Caldore M. 3. Yabre M. 7. Romano A. 34. Maselli S. 8. De Rosa R. 80. Di Dio F. 25. De Sena C. 32. Balde I.	89. Branduani P. (G) 15. Dutu E. 3. De Marino D. 6. Gasbarro A. 7. Biondi K. 20. Agostinelli V. 21. Risolo A. 99. Garofalo V. 50. Ingrosso G. 10. Polidori A. 9. Artistico G.
Substitutes
12. Baldi G. (G) 16. Berardocco L. 19. Boccia A. 30. Ciuferri F. 98. Coprean R. (G) 14. Gladestony 18. Grasso M. 5. Menna D. 77. Oviszach E. 11. Oyewale S. 10. Salvemini F. 6. Scognamiglio G.	40. Accardi A. 17. Carella F. 1. Carretta F. (G) 18. Contini G. 8. Di Marco T. 27. Laaribi M. 12. Lucatelli I. (G) 30. Macca F. 11. Neglia S. 23. Nicoli S.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Recent matches Giugliano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Virtus Francavilla is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Giugliano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Giugliano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Giugliano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giugliano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
02.02.24	Latina - Giugliano	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Giugliano - Picerno	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Juve Stabia - Giugliano	0:0 ✺
12.01.24	Giugliano - Foggia	4:1 ✺
07.01.24	Sorrento - Giugliano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTTWL
- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
03.02.24	ACR Messina - Virtus Francavilla	3:2 ✺
26.01.24	Virtus Francavilla - Foggia	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Crotone - Virtus Francavilla	1:1 ✺
13.01.24	Virtus Francavilla - Benevento	1:2 ✺
06.01.24	Picerno - Virtus Francavilla	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
01.10.23	Virtus Francavilla - Giugliano	1:1
05.02.23	Virtus Francavilla - Giugliano	4:1
08.10.22	Giugliano - Virtus Francavilla	2:0

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