Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 32

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Municipal de Tarazona (Tarazona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Aragon TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Tarazona		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.88	2.63
	2.78	2.92	2.58
	2.7	2.95	2.73
	2.85	2.92	2.66	Watch
	2.63	2.7	2.63
	2.73	2.98	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.59)	2.89 ↓ (2.95)	2.66 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarazona
33.7%

Draw
31.7%

Alcorcón
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

31.5%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Tarazona - Alcorcón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Josele (G) 2. Lopez A. 16. Delmas J. 4. Trilles M. 3. Martinez Chechu 14. Borge A. 6. Carrasco O. 8. Ramon T. 23. Busi 19. Armero S. 10. Aguero	1. Ayesa G. (G) 21. Navarro D. 6. Perez I. 4. Rojas J. 15. Rodriguez S. 22. Blanco R. 5. Rai 10. Ballesteros Y. (C) 14. Vacas L. 7. Aparicio E. 9. Carmona M.
Substitutes
15. Alonso I. 13. Amigo A. (G) 9. Cubillas D. 17. Jimenez A. 20. Martinez J. 21. Nieto C. 7. Soto D. 5. Traore B. 22. Vaquero	18. Aguado T. 35. Arcos D. 2. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 11. Kopotun V. 8. Martinez B. 13. Marti O. (G) 3. Nieto S. 19. Pola J. 16. Tounkara N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Armero S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Martinez Chechu 🟨,
54', Carmona M. 🟨,
55', Aparicio E. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Aguero (Penalty Awarded),
62', Rojas J. 🟨,
63', Vacas L. ↓, Aguado T. ↑,
63', Blanco R. ↓, Kopotun V. ↑,
63', Rai ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
68', Borge A. 🟨,
72', Navarro D. ↓, Nieto S. ↑,
80', Aguero ↓, Soto D. ↑,
87', Ramon T. ↓, Alonso I. ↑,
87', Armero S. ↓, Cubillas D. ↑,
90+5', Trilles M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Tarazona has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alcorcón has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tarazona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Alcorcon	6	3	3	0	13:4	9	12

Last Results with these Odds

Tarazona - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.84%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Alcorcón - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.69%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.04.26	Antequera - Tarazona	2:3 ✺
29.03.26	Tarazona - Eldense	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Real Murcia - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Tarazona - Atlético Madrid B	1:4 ✺
08.03.26	Tarazona - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLLT
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.04.26	Alcorcón - Hércules	4:0 ✺
29.03.26	Ibiza - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Teruel - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Alcorcón - Algeciras	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.11.25	Alcorcón - Tarazona	1:0

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