Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Tartu Kalev		Elva

	1	X	2
	5.62	4.02	1.51	Watch
	4.94	4.8	1.45	Watch
	5.33	5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.3 ↓ (5.46)	4.61 ↑ (4.51)	1.48 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tartu Kalev
17.4%

Draw
20%

Elva
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.9%

20.5%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tartu Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Elva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Tartu Kalev - Elva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
57', 0 - 3, ⚽,
63', 0 - 4, ⚽,
78', 1 - 4, ⚽,
85', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, Elva is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tartu Kalev won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tartu Kalev won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tartu Kalev
Estonian Esiliiga B
09.11.25	Narva Trans U21 - Tartu Kalev	6:1 ✺
01.11.25	Tartu Kalev - Tallinna JK Legion	4:3 ✺
26.10.25	Tartu Kalev - Läänemaa Haapsalu	10:0 ✺
23.10.25	Tabasalu - Tartu Kalev	3:9 ✺
18.10.25	Tartu Kalev - Nõmme United U21	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWL
- FC Elva
Estonian Esiliiga
09.11.25	Nõmme United - Elva	5:0 ✺
02.11.25	Elva - Flora U21	2:0 ✺
Estonian Cup
30.10.25	Elva - Tallinna Kalev	1:2 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
27.10.25	Tartu Welco - Elva	3:2 ✺
23.10.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Elva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Cup
11.06.25	Tartu Kalev - Elva	1:2
Estonian Esiliiga
29.11.23	Elva - Tartu Kalev	2:1 ET
25.11.23	Tartu Kalev - Elva	0:0

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