Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 26

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Żabbar St. Patrick		Mosta

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.6
	1.9	3.35	3.5
	2	3.4	4.04
	1.84	3.69	3.68	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.5
	1.93	3.04	3.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.86)	3.34 ↓ (3.55)	3.71 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Żabbar St. Patrick
47.9%

Draw
27.4%

Mosta
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

25.9%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

25.4%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żabbar St. Patrick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Mosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Żabbar St. Patrick - Mosta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Colombo I. (G) 11. Agius N. 9. Cejas P. 8. Figueiredo B. 10. Gambarte B. (C) 21. Jovancic S. 22. Leonardi Z. 19. Majok A. 16. Micallef J. 71. Pisani J. 55. Scicluna K.	22. Udoh A. (G) 3. Bolanos M. 26. Emmanuel P. 10. Giancarlo 14. Joao Victor 96. Leo Fernandes 41. Pedro Cacho 7. Portelli N. 74. Vassallo J. (C) 11. Zammit K. II 42. Zibo S.
Substitutes
77. Etim A. 24. Eviparker T. 89. Fontanella M. 5. Forte M. 91. Grech J. (G) 15. Im Y. W. 20. Micallef L. 18. Mota L. 23. Polidano Z. 30. Scicluna R. 7. Soldo M.	21. Agius 77. Brincat Z. 5. Cachia S. 9. Diamanka C. 33. Farrugia B. 99. Farrugia J. (G) 23. Kozic A. 13. Luke U. 29. Oderinde C. 16. Sciberras G. 94. Vassallo S.
Coaches
Agius G.	Grech J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Emmanuel P. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Figueiredo B. ⚽,
15', 1 - 2, Portelli N. ⚽,
25', Majok A. 🟨,
30', 2 - 2, Cejas P. ⚽,
38', Agius N. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Agius N. ↓, Im Y. W. ↑,
49', 3 - 2, Im Y. W. ⚽,
65', Udoh A. 🟨,
65', Bolanos M. ↓, Sciberras G. ↑,
65', Zibo S. ↓, Kozic A. ↑,
69', 4 - 2, Cejas P. ⚽,
71', Vassallo J. ↓, Cachia S. ↑,
72', 🟨,
74', 4 - 3, Leo Fernandes ⚽,
75', Cejas P. ↓, Mota L. ↑,
79', Figueiredo B. 🟨,
84', 5 - 3, Majok A. ⚽,
86', Majok A. ↓, Forte M. ↑,
90+2', Figueiredo B. ↓, Soldo M. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 12 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )).

Żabbar is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )

Mosta is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )

Żabbar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mosta is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Żabbar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Żabbar has had a series of away games.

In this match, Żabbar is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Żabbar won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Żabbar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Mosta	5	3	1	1	7:5	2	10
9	Zabbar	6	1	2	3	5:9	-4	5

Last Results with these Odds

Żabbar St. Patrick - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.51%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żabbar St. Patrick FC
Maltese FA Trophy
04.03.26	Birkirkara - Żabbar St. Patrick	2:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
28.02.26	Gżira United - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Birkirkara - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:3 ✺
17.02.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Valletta	0:0 ✺
13.02.26	Hamrun Spartans - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 LTWTT
- Mosta FC
Maltese FA Trophy
03.03.26	Gżira United - Mosta	2:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
28.02.26	Mosta - Marsaxlokk	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Gżira United - Mosta	1:0 ✺
18.02.26	Mosta - Tarxien Rainbows	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Mosta - Birkirkara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
12.12.25	Mosta - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1
24.10.25	Mosta - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1
29.03.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Mosta	1:2
27.10.24	Mosta - Żabbar St. Patrick	4:2

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