Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 31

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday


	Taunton Town		Aveley

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.4
	2.7	3.25	2.5
	2.49	2.94	2.44
	2.8	3.09	2.66
	2.5	3.25	2.45
	2.72	3.18	2.48
	2.7	3.2	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.65)	3.13 ↓ (3.29)	2.48 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taunton Town
34.3%

Draw
29%

Aveley
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

28.1%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

27.9%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taunton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Taunton Town - Aveley Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Taunton will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Aveley will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Taunton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aveley is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aveley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Taunton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taunton Town
English National League South
23.01.24	Taunton Town - Weymouth	0:2 ✺
13.01.24	Taunton Town - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
09.01.24	Taunton Town - Yeovil Town	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Slough Town - Taunton Town	3:0 ✺
26.12.23	Yeovil Town - Taunton Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Aveley
English National League South
23.01.24	Eastbourne Borough - Aveley	1:2 ✺
20.01.24	Aveley - Chippenham Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.24	Aveley - Fylde	1:0 ✺
English National League South
06.01.24	Welling United - Aveley	1:3 ✺
30.12.23	Aveley - Dover Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
12.08.23	Aveley - Taunton Town	4:1

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