Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday


	Aveley		Fylde

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.05
	3.2	3.6	2.05
	3.35	3.56	2.06
	3.16	3.56	1.94
	3	3.5	2
	3.21	3.62	2.05
	3.1	3.55	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.77)	3.54 ↑ (3.44)	2.03 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
29.2%

Draw
25.8%

Fylde
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

26.3%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

25.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Fylde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Aveley - Fylde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English National League South
06.01.24	Welling United - Aveley	1:3 ✺
30.12.23	Aveley - Dover Athletic	2:1 ✺
26.12.23	Dover Athletic - Aveley	2:1 ✺
23.12.23	Aveley - Slough Town	0:2 ✺
16.12.23	Braintree Town - Aveley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLL
- AFC Fylde
English National League
09.01.24	Fylde - Hartlepool United	2:1 ✺
01.01.24	Fylde - Rochdale	2:0 ✺
26.12.23	Rochdale - Fylde	2:0 ✺
23.12.23	Fylde - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Altrincham - Fylde	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLTL

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