Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 26

Date: 30 December 2023, Saturday


	Aveley		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	4.33
	1.63	3.75	5	Watch
	1.71	3.83	4.88
	1.69	3.83	4.89
	1.62	3.6	4.5
	1.67	3.68	4.8
	1.71	3.55	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.63)	3.68 ↓ (3.73)	4.67 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
55.2%

Draw
25.1%

Dover Athletic
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

24.5%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

23.7%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Dover Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (-1%)

Aveley - Dover Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Aveley is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dover is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aveley will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aveley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English National League South
26.12.23	Dover Athletic - Aveley	2:1 ✺
23.12.23	Aveley - Slough Town	0:2 ✺
16.12.23	Braintree Town - Aveley	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Aveley - Hungerford Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League South
04.12.23	Aveley - Welling United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWT
- Dover Athletic
English National League South
26.12.23	Dover Athletic - Aveley	2:1 ✺
23.12.23	Weymouth - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Dover Athletic - Bath City	0:0 ✺
02.12.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Dover Athletic	4:3 ✺
25.11.23	Dover Athletic - Weston-super-Mare	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
26.12.23	Dover Athletic - Aveley	2:1

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