Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 25

Date: 26 December 2023, Tuesday


	Dover Athletic		Aveley

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.2
	3.1	3.3	2.2
	3.03	3.32	2.35
	3.03	3.3	2.36
	2.8	3.2	2.25
	3	3.2	2.3
	2.9	3.2	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.78)	3.23 ↓ (3.3)	2.27 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dover Athletic
31.1%

Draw
28.4%

Aveley
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

27.4%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

27.7%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Aveley aligns with the current prediction.

Dover Athletic - Aveley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Recently Aveley have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dover Athletic
English National League South
23.12.23	Weymouth - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Dover Athletic - Bath City	0:0 ✺
02.12.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Dover Athletic	4:3 ✺
25.11.23	Dover Athletic - Weston-super-Mare	0:1 ✺
21.11.23	Dover Athletic - Eastbourne Borough	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTLLT
- Aveley
English National League South
23.12.23	Aveley - Slough Town	0:2 ✺
16.12.23	Braintree Town - Aveley	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Aveley - Hungerford Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League South
04.12.23	Aveley - Welling United	2:2 ✺
02.12.23	Aveley - Farnborough	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWTL

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