Match Info

Lithuanian Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Dirbtines Dangos Stadionas (Taurage)


	Tauras Tauragė		Sūduva Marijampolė

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.5	3.4	1.65
	4	3.65	1.72	Watch
	5.38	3.65	1.57
	3.88	3.63	1.8	Watch
	4.6	3.4	1.67
	4.05	3.4	1.82
	4	3.65	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (3.27)	3.54 ↓ (3.6)	1.71 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tauras Tauragė
21%

Draw
25.7%

Sūduva Marijampolė
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

25.2%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

24.2%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tauras Tauragė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tauras Tauragė's form might have worsened.

Sūduva Marijampolė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sūduva Marijampolė's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tauras Tauragė than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tauras Tauragė, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Tauras Tauragė - Sūduva Marijampolė Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sūduva Marijampolė will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Macaitis S. (G) 5. Druktenis D. 94. Dusevicius E. 13. Gvildys K. 7. Jorge Eduardo 17. Kovbasa A. 21. Pikciunas M. 19. Totilas N. 6. Traore L. 88. Trijonis P. 8. Vaitkunas E.	12. Zenkevicius G. (G) 5. Baltrunas Z. 70. Haidara A. 9. Lucky T. 11. Momoh I. 7. Sabo A. 94. Sanokho S. M. 88. Stankevicius D. 4. Uzochukwu H. 21. Zingertas L. 15. Zivanovic A.
Substitutes
9. Dovgyi O. 14. Galbuogis G. 35. Gramba R. 50. Kondrotas V. 51. Lankauskas K. (G) 16. Paulius S. 22. Pilypas T. 77. Sirka J. 4. Statkus M.	77. Bickauskas P. 8. Lawson S. 17. Luksys N. 66. Pacesa R. (G) 28. Petkevicius N. 87. Pudzemys D. 6. Sakurai K. 99. Stebrys V. (G) 14. Tangiri F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Haidara A. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Haidara A. ⚽,
44', Vaitkunas E. ↓, Paulius S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Haidara A. ↓, Luksys N. ↑,
64', Sanokho S. M. ↓, Petkevicius N. ↑,
64', Sabo A. ↓, Sakurai K. ↑,
64', Momoh I. ↓, Tangiri F. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Pikciunas M. ⚽,
70', Totilas N. ↓, Dovgyi O. ↑,
73', Paulius S. 🟨,
76', Druktenis D. 🟨,
87', 1 - 3, Luksys N. ⚽,
90', Druktenis D. ↓, Statkus M. ↑,
90', Traore L. ↓, Sirka J. ↑,
90', Pikciunas M. ↓, Gramba R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tauras won 0.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Tauras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tauras has had a series of home games.

In this match, Sūduva is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tauras won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:22. (average 1.1:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tauras won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1.7:3.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tauras Tauragė
Lithuanian Division 2
24.05.25	Tauras Tauragė - Nevėžis	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Tauras Tauragė - Jonava	2:0 ✺
09.05.25	Neptūnas - Tauras Tauragė	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Tauras Tauragė - Babrungas Plungė	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Tauras Tauragė - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWTTW
- Sūduva Marijampolė
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
25.05.25	Džiugas Telšiai - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:1 ✺
16.05.25	Dainava Alytus - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:3 ✺
11.05.25	Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Panevėžys	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Hegelmann Litauen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.01.14	Sūduva Marijampolė - Tauras Tauragė	1:1
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
23.09.13	Sūduva Marijampolė - Tauras Tauragė	3:1
07.09.13	Tauras Tauragė - Sūduva Marijampolė	3:3
11.05.13	Sūduva Marijampolė - Tauras Tauragė	3:0
17.03.13	Tauras Tauragė - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:6
19.09.12	Sūduva Marijampolė - Tauras Tauragė	4:1
22.07.12	Tauras Tauragė - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:2

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