Match Info

RUSSIA: RUSSIAN CUP - REGIONS PATH - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday


	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo		Rodina Moscow

	1	X	2
	6.2	4.09	1.4
	6.65	4.55	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.43 ↑ (4.85)	4.32 ↑ (3.96)	1.41 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tekstilshchik Ivanovo
14.2%

Draw
21.1%

Rodina Moscow
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

23.4%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

23.5%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tekstilshchik Ivanovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rodina Moscow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tekstilshchik Ivanovo than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rodina Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Rodina Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grigorjev A. (G) 39. Danilin M. 94. Evseev A. 17. Kanaev M. 80. Klimov I. (C) 11. Lyamzin M. 66. Samylin A. 88. Semashkin D. 77. Sentyurin M. 14. Sergeev V. 76. Steshin E.	31. Shakerov 78. Bakaev S. 34. Dmitriev O. 6. Fishchenko R. 72. Gordyushenko A. 9. Kalmykov A. 24. Kleshchenko A. 55. Krizan M. 88. Sokol A. 99. Timoshenko I. 21. Yudintsev G.
Substitutes
4. Eliseev A. 69. Ermolin R. 27. Gorovykh D. 91. Kalin D. 21. Simdyankin N. 92. Skvortsov A. 16. Yavorski N. (G)	1. Aydarov S. (G) 37. Pliev Z. 70. Samko V. 7. Shiltsov K. 10. Turishchev M. 5. Voropaev A. 33. Wesley Nata

Preview

Tekstilshchik is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Rodina is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rodina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rodina is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tekstilshchik Ivanovo
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
23.09.23	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Chelyabinsk	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Novosibirsk - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	0:2 ✺
Russian Cup
13.09.23	Dynamo Vologda - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
09.09.23	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Rodina Moscow 2	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Avangard Kursk - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWWTT
- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
23.09.23	Rodina Moscow - Shinnik	1:4 ✺
18.09.23	Tyumen - Rodina Moscow	2:2 ✺
10.09.23	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Rodina Moscow	2:2 ✺
04.09.23	Rodina Moscow - Torpedo Moscow	2:0 ✺
27.08.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTTWW

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