The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 23.3%
Draw 30.1%
Rodina Moscow 46.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.7%
30.4%
41%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.8%
29.4%
42.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk's form might have worsened.
Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rodina Moscow's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
14.3%
85.7%
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Rodina will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.5 - Neftekhimik (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rodina Moscow will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Neftekhimik (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Rodina (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Golubev A. (C) 97. Filipovskiy M. 65. Tolstopyatov N. 12. Shiryaev M. 17. Valiakhmetov E. 10. Kokoev D. 6. Rodin D. 11. Sukhomlinov D. 90. Shiltsov K. 15. Nikitin A. 9. Magomedov R.
13. Volkov S. (G) 49. Dyatlov I. 26. Meshchaninov A. (C) 55. Krizan M. 3. Goglichidze L. 77. Koryan A. 6. Fishchenko R. 10. Reyna Y. 18. Abdusalamov M. 9. Maksimenko A. 99. Timoshenko I.
Substitutes
27. Budylin A. 7. Dzhamilov S. 8. Kantaria G. 51. Kashintsev T. (G) 14. Mashukov I. 23. Mikhaylov D. 43. Prisyazhnenko N. (G)
1. Aydarov S. (G) 22. Beskibalniy A. 5. Egorychev A. 72. Gordyushenko A. 7. Gueye P. 20. Kontsevoy A. 38. Musaev L. 17. Postnikov N. 88. Sokol A. 71. Svinov I. (G) 4. Tananeev D. 23. Ushatov K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 1 - 0, Nikitin A. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Timoshenko I. ⚽,
38', 1 - 2, Timoshenko I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
60', 1 - 3, Maksimenko A. ⚽,
62', Koryan A. ↓, Ushatov K. ↑,
63', Kokoev D. ↓, Kantaria G. ↑,
63', Sukhomlinov D. ↓, Mikhaylov D. ↑,
63', Shiltsov K. ↓, Dzhamilov S. ↑,
70', Ushatov K. 🟨,
71', Magomedov R. ↓, Mashukov I. ↑,
74', 1 - 4, Abdusalamov M. ⚽,
75', Abdusalamov M. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
76', Reyna Y. ↓, Gordyushenko A. ↑,
76', Maksimenko A. ↓, Kontsevoy A. ↑,
77', Timoshenko I. ↓, Egorychev A. ↑,
87', Nikitin A. ↓, Budylin A. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 5, Kontsevoy A. ⚽,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 13)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Rodina will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.5:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Neftekhimik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1.3:3.3).