Match Info

FNL - Round 15

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Tekstilshchik (Ivanovo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Shishkin P. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belarus	16:00	Sport TV


	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo		Sochi

	1	X	2
	4.80	3.71	1.75
	4.75	3.65	1.73
	4.80	3.65	1.70	Watch
	4.10	3.45	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↓ (4.81)	3.62 ↓ (3.65)	1.73 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tekstilshchik Ivanovo
20.2%

Draw
25.8%

Sochi
54%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.5%

25.7%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

25%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tekstilshchik Ivanovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tekstilshchik Ivanovo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Sochi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
58. Fadeev S. (G) 23. Ivannikov D. 3. Marugin D. 27. Krutovskikh A. 66. Petin Y. 83. Ishchenko N. 30. Simonov D. 21. Ivanisenia D. (C) 7. Dzhebov A. 91. Pomalyuk A. 17. Mikhailusov A.	51. Mitrov T. (G) 3. Soldatenkov A. 33. Marcelo Alves 44. Stojic N. 17. Makarchuk A. 27. Zaika K. (C) 28. Magal R. 5. Osipov A. 66. Metsiev A. 8. Ignatov M. 9. Fedorov Z.
Substitutes
77. Biblik S. 87. Filev A. 2. Gapechkin A. 55. Gapeev V. 18. Ivanov I. 11. Kriushichev M. 29. Nikitin K. 19. Noskov M. 46. Pershin N. 95. Volkov M. (G)	59. Bart R. 22. Kozhemyakin O. 11. Meleshin P. 60. Nosatiy M. 97. Pasevich R. 7. Sheydayev R. 85. Silev D. (G)
Coaches
Pyatibratov D.	Osinkin I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Pomalyuk A. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Ignatov M. ⚽,
41', Petin Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Zaika K. 🟨,
61', Pomalyuk A. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Mikhailusov A. ↓, Kriushichev M. ↑,
62', Petin Y. ↓, Gapechkin A. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Ignatov M. ⚽,
66', 1 - 3, Fedorov Z. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Pomalyuk A. ↓, Filev A. ↑,
75', Fedorov Z. ↓, Sheydayev R. ↑,
75', Metsiev A. ↓, Kozhemyakin O. ↑,
75', Ignatov M. ↓, Meleshin P. ↑,
80', Magal R. ↓, Pasevich R. ↑,
82', Ivanisenia D. ↓, Ivanov I. ↑,
82', Ishchenko N. ↓, Biblik S. ↑,
90', Zaika K. ↓, Bart R. ↑,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 2nd in the Promotion - Premier League).

Tekstilshchik is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sochi is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Sochi could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Sochi for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sochi	15	10	2	3	26:15	11	32
18	Tekstilshtik	15	2	4	9	11:25	-14	10

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Tekstilshtik: 0.8%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tekstilshchik Ivanovo
Russian FNL
18.10.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Chelyabinsk	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
14.10.26	Chertanovo - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	2:1 ✺
Russian FNL
10.10.26	Shinnik - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Orenburg - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	3:2 ✺
Russian FNL
17.09.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Rotor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLL
- FC Sochi
Russian FNL
16.10.26	Rotor - Sochi	0:1 ✺
11.10.26	Sochi - Ufa	1:0 ✺
18.09.26	Sochi - SKA Khabarovsk	1:1 ✺
14.09.26	Veles Moscow - Sochi	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
09.09.26	Dinamo Saint Petersburg - Sochi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTWL

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