Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Orenburg		Tekstilshchik Ivanovo

	1	X	2
	1.60	3.70	4.45
	1.72	4.11	4.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.73)	3.91 ↓ (4)	4.72 ↓ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orenburg
56.3%

Draw
23.9%

Tekstilshchik Ivanovo
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

24.4%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

23.8%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Tekstilshchik Ivanovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tekstilshchik Ivanovo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 2)

Preview

Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.

Recently, Tekstilshchik has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this matchup, Orenburg is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Orenburg has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:3 (averaging 2.5:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Orenburg against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Orenburg
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Orenburg	2:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
17.09.26	Orenburg - Krasnodar	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Orenburg	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Orenburg - Akron Tolyatti	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
02.09.26	Orenburg - Rubin Kazan	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLTL
- Tekstilshchik Ivanovo
Russian FNL
17.09.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Rotor	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Leningradets - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
08.09.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Arsenal Tula	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL
04.09.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Torpedo Moscow	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Veles Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
30.04.22	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Orenburg	2:5
13.10.21	Orenburg - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	2:0
25.11.20	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Orenburg	0:2
16.08.20	Orenburg - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	1:1

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