Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 36

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1


	Excelsior		Emmen

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.5	6	Watch
	1.49	4.33	5.25
	1.5	4.75	5.5	Watch
	1.49	4.74	6.13
	1.49	4.51	5.81	Watch
	1.5	4.2	5.5
	1.49	4.55	5.88	Watch
	1.5	4.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.47)	4.54 ↓ (4.69)	5.7 ↓ (5.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior
62.9%

Draw
20.7%

Emmen
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

20%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

19%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Excelsior - Emmen Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Emmen will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Excelsior (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raatsie C. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 5. Widell C. 4. Warmerdam D. 12. Zagre A. 6. Blomme X. 8. Tielemans M. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 10. Duijvestijn L. (C) 21. Donkor J. 33. Bergraaf J.	38. Unbehaun L. (G) 23. Hammouti F. 4. te Wierik M. 6. Mulder P. 27. Schouten R. 26. Wagner F. 22. Martin M. 7. Rhein T. 8. Bakir A. 10. Hawkins J. 24. Nsona K.
Substitutes
11. Booth Z. 40. Danquah E. (G) 24. Eijgenraam J. 7. Fini S. 23. Hatenboer C. 38. Kuiper P. (G) 17. Martens N. 15. Naujoks N. 35. Oetoehganal L. 9. Omorowa R. 14. Rosario R. 29. van Duinen M.	34. Bolk G. 46. Eduardo Y. 18. Evina F. 5. Geypens T. 17. Hekkert J. 1. Hoekstra J. (G) 28. Jalving R. (G) 21. Nunumete D. 12. Quispel F. 2. Soares J.
Coaches
den Uil R.	Arts A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Duijvestijn L. ⚽,
28', Blomme X. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Bergraaf J. ⚽, Duijvestijn L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bakir A. ↓, Evina F. ↑,
46', Hawkins J. ↓, Quispel F. ↑,
46', Hammouti F. ↓, Soares J. ↑,
61', Donkor J. ↓, Fini S. ↑,
61', Bergraaf J. ↓, Naujoks N. ↑,
61', Blomme X. ↓, Hatenboer C. ↑,
68', Soares J. 🟨,
72', Evina F. ↓, Eduardo Y. ↑,
77', Eduardo Y. 🟨,
80', Martin M. ↓, Hekkert J. ↑,
82', Bronkhorst I. ↓, Martens N. ↑,
82', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Booth Z. ↑,
82', Duijvestijn L. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
86', Tielemans M. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 2.

Excelsior in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Emmen is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Excelsior could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Excelsior is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Excelsior to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:13 (average 1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Rotterdam
Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.04.25	Volendam - Excelsior	1:4 ✺
11.04.25	Excelsior - FC Oss	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	MVV Maastricht - Excelsior	1:2 ✺
28.03.25	Excelsior - Jong Utrecht	3:0 ✺
14.03.25	FC Eindhoven - Excelsior	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWW
- FC Emmen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
18.04.25	Emmen - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:4 ✺
11.04.25	Roda - Emmen	1:0 ✺
04.04.25	Emmen - Cambuur	3:0 ✺
28.03.25	MVV Maastricht - Emmen	1:2 ✺
14.03.25	Emmen - Jong Utrecht	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
08.12.24	Emmen - Excelsior	1:1
Dutch Eredivisie
11.03.23	Emmen - Excelsior	2:0
10.09.22	Excelsior - Emmen	2:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.01.22	Excelsior - Emmen	0:1
09.10.21	Emmen - Excelsior	0:1
Dutch Eredivisie
17.02.19	Excelsior - Emmen	2:1
25.11.18	Emmen - Excelsior	1:2

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