Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 33

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: De Oude Meerdijk (Emmen)

Referee: Perez M. (Ned)


	Emmen		VVV-Venlo

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.8	3.1
	1.95	3.7	3.1
	2.02	3.7	3.2	Watch
	2.05	3.97	3.26
	1.97	3.9	3.34	Watch
	2	3.6	3.1
	1.98	3.95	3.23	Watch
	2.09	3.75	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.09)	3.8 ↑ (3.7)	3.17 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emmen
46.5%

Draw
24.4%

VVV-Venlo
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

24.9%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

24.8%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Emmen - VVV Venlo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Emmen will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Emmen: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Unbehaun L. (G) 22. Beukers D. 3. Sondergaard P. 34. Bolk G. 17. Larsen L. 36. Everink L. 6. Staring C. (C) 21. Nunumete D. 5. Geypens T. 9. Postema R. 12. Quispel F.	13. Schoonderwaldt Y. (G) 23. Sbai Y. 3. Verheij L. 33. Blancquart G. (C) 5. de Blok L. 26. Matoug N. 20. Eijgenraam J. 24. Odriss M. 11. Ait Mouhou N. 9. Zandbergen D. 18. van Zijl B.
Substitutes
8. Bakir A. 10. Besuijen V. 1. Bucker K. (G) 23. Emeran N. 18. Evina F. 30. Hojabrpour A. 25. Kongolo R. 24. Mesbahi J. 2. Mukeh J. 4. Ostergaard C. 29. Sadiku A. 15. Sunder C.	31. Davis M. 1. Doornbusch T. (G) 15. Joosten T. 6. Kluskens J. 27. Kromah L. 22. Taylan Z. (G) 4. Timber D. 10. Triep J. 8. van Oorschot D. 42. Vullers R. 7. Wehmeyer L.
Coaches
van Dam M.	Uneken P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Verheij L. (Own goal),
41', 2 - 0, Quispel F. ⚽, Geypens T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sbai Y. ↓, Vullers R. ↑,
46', Matoug N. ↓, Triep J. ↑,
46', Ait Mouhou N. ↓, Joosten T. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Zandbergen D. ⚽, de Blok L. (A),
63', Beukers D. ↓, Emeran N. ↑,
63', Nunumete D. ↓, Kongolo R. ↑,
73', Quispel F. ↓, Besuijen V. ↑,
73', Geypens T. ↓, Mukeh J. ↑,
73', Eijgenraam J. ↓, van Oorschot D. ↑,
80', van Zijl B. ↓, Kromah L. ↑,
89', Larsen L. ↓, Ostergaard C. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Zandbergen D. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 2.

In recent matches, Emmen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Venlo is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Venlo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Emmen has had a series of home games.

Emmen could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Emmen: Claridge A. (Knee Injury) Denk L. (Knee Injury) Kade J. (Knee Injury) Larsen L. (Yellow Cards) Rhein T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Venlo: Foor N. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:30. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Emmen won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.7:1.8).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Venlo: 7.38% FC Emmen: 3.87%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Venlo	10	7	0	3	26:14	12	21
4	FC Emmen	10	6	1	3	22:18	4	19

Last Results with these Odds

Emmen - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.13%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Emmen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.03.26	Emmen - ADO Den Haag	0:1 ✺
09.03.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Emmen	2:3 ✺
02.03.26	Emmen - Jong Utrecht	1:0 ✺
27.02.26	Emmen - Willem II	0:3 ✺
23.02.26	Emmen - Jong Ajax	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWLT
- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.03.26	VVV-Venlo - Jong Ajax	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	MVV Maastricht - VVV-Venlo	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	VVV-Venlo - Waalwijk	0:3 ✺
27.02.26	ADO Den Haag - VVV-Venlo	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	VVV-Venlo - FC Oss	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.10.25	VVV-Venlo - Emmen	4:0
02.05.25	Emmen - VVV-Venlo	2:1
22.11.24	VVV-Venlo - Emmen	0:2
08.03.24	VVV-Venlo - Emmen	2:0
18.08.23	Emmen - VVV-Venlo	2:2
Dutch KNVB Beker
11.01.23	VVV-Venlo - Emmen	2:3
Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.03.22	VVV-Venlo - Emmen	0:2

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