Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 9

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: De Grolsch Veste (Enschede) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	20:00	ESPN 2, ESPN


	Twente		Utrecht

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.25	8.50	Watch
	1.38	5.25	7.25
	1.33	5.30	8.00
	1.37	5.57	8.18
	1.35	5.6	7.4	Watch
	1.35	5.50	7.40
	1.39	5.41	7.29	Watch
	1.34	5.40	7.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.32)	5.41 ↓ (5.8)	7.68 ↓ (7.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Twente
70%

Draw
17.6%

Utrecht
12.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.5%

16.3%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.6%

13.9%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Twente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Twente - Utrecht Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Twente (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Twente will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Drommel J. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 3. Propper R. (C) 4. Nijstad R. 29. Adelgaard A. 6. Zerrouki R. 8. Weidmann D. 11. Rots D. 14. Hlynsson K. 27. Orjasaeter S. 9. Weghorst W.	22. Padt S. (G) 2. Horemans S. 3. Didden M. 5. Panagiotou N. 23. Vesterlund N. 8. van Overeem J. (C) 38. Agougil O. 92. Zagre A. 10. Cathline Y. 20. de Wit D. 11. Alarcon A.
Substitutes
18. Bawuah J. 31. Gerritsen Y. (G) 24. Kurowski K. 39. Meilink J. 22. Pasveer R. (G) 7. Pjaca M. 2. Rosiak M. 10. Taha Y. 17. Thorvaldsen F. 20. van den Belt T. 25. Vennegoor of Hesselink L.	39. Amrabat N. 15. Blake A. 47. Chigozie Owen E. 31. Eppink M. (G) 33. Gadellaa K. (G) 32. Kloosterboer P. 18. Medic J. 6. Offerhaus G. 21. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 34. van den Berg D. 17. van Duijn S.
Coaches
van den Brom J.	Correia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Weidmann D. ⚽, Adelgaard A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Rots D. ↓, Pjaca M. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Alarcon A. ⚽, Zagre A. (A),
57', Horemans S. 🟨,
62', Propper R. ↓, van den Belt T. ↑,
62', Hlynsson K. ↓, Taha Y. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Alarcon A. ⚽, Zagre A. (A),
64', Agougil O. ↓, Amrabat N. ↑,
64', Horemans S. ↓, van den Berg D. ↑,
66', van den Berg D. 🟨,
72', Cathline Y. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
72', Alarcon A. ↓, van Duijn S. ↑,
73', Adelgaard A. ↓, Vennegoor of Hesselink L. ↑,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Eredivisie Conference League - Playoffs and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 2.

Twente has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Utrecht has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Utrecht could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Twente has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

Twente holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Confirmed absences for Twente: Bruns M. (Inactive) Lemkin S. (Muscle Injury) Unnerstall L. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Utrecht: Engwanda A. (Hamstring Injury) Jensen V. (Knee Injury) Jonathans M. (Knee Injury) Ohio N. (Knee Injury) Stepanov A. (Ankle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Utrecht: Paredes K. (Knee Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Twente in today's match, at odds of 1.36.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Twente has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:27 (averaging 1.2:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Twente against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 15:10 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Twente	10	6	2	2	19:10	9	20
11	Utrecht	10	3	3	4	17:27	-10	12

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Twente: 6.55% Utrecht: 0.33%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Twente
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Twente - Thun	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
10.10.26	Fortuna Sittard - Twente	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Twente - Werder Bremen	7:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
20.09.26	Twente - PSV Eindhoven	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Twente - ADO Den Haag	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTWWW
- FC Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie
11.10.26	Utrecht - Willem II	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Feyenoord - Utrecht	5:0 ✺
13.09.26	Excelsior - Utrecht	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Utrecht - Go Ahead Eagles	3:3 ✺
30.08.26	Utrecht - PSV Eindhoven	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
15.03.26	Twente - Utrecht	0:2
Dutch KNVB Beker
13.01.26	Utrecht - Twente	1:2
Dutch Eredivisie
07.12.25	Utrecht - Twente	1:1
11.05.25	Twente - Utrecht	2:0
01.09.24	Utrecht - Twente	2:1
18.02.24	Twente - Utrecht	0:1
05.11.23	Utrecht - Twente	1:1

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