Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 27

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: De Grolsch Veste (Enschede)

Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Israel	Sport 2
Kenya	Gotv
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN


	Twente		Utrecht

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.1	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.95	4.7
	1.67	4.2	5.17
	1.63	4.18	5.05	Watch
	1.65	3.8	4.6
	1.7	4.19	4.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.48)	4.07 ↓ (4.1)	4.86 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Twente
57%

Draw
23.4%

Utrecht
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.6%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

24.1%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Twente's form might have worsened.

Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Twente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Utrecht, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	43.7%	12.5%

Twente - Utrecht Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Utrecht will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Twente (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Unnerstall L. (G) 28. van Rooij B. (C) 23. Lemkin S. 43. Nijstad R. 39. Rots M. 14. Hlynsson K. 6. Zerrouki R. 20. van den Belt T. 11. Rots D. 10. Lammers S. 7. Pjaca M.	1. Barkas V. (G) 23. Vesterlund N. 40. Didden M. 3. van der Hoorn M. (C) 16. El Karouani S. 27. Engwanda A. 21. Zechiel G. 77. Alarcon A. 20. de Wit D. 10. Cathline Y. 18. Stepanov A.
Substitutes
8. Booth T. 38. Bruns M. 21. Karssies S. (G) 4. Kjolo M. 27. Orjasaeter S. 12. Peixoto G. 3. Propper R. 22. Tyton P. (G) 9. van Wolfswinkel R. 25. Vennegoor of Hesselink L. 32. Verschueren A. 42. Weidmann D.	5. Adiele E. 38. Agougil O. 15. Blake A. 8. Bozdogan C. 25. Brouwer M. (G) 33. Gadellaa K. (G) 91. Haller S. 2. Horemans S. 11. Karlsson J. 9. Min D. 24. Viergever N.
Coaches
van den Brom J.	Jans R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', de Wit D. 🟨,
25', van den Belt T. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Stepanov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Zechiel G. 🟨,
62', Pjaca M. ↓, van Wolfswinkel R. ↑,
62', van den Belt T. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
63', Nijstad R. ↓, Propper R. ↑,
66', 0 - 2, Alarcon A. ⚽, Zechiel G. (A),
69', Cathline Y. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
80', Stepanov A. ↓, Min D. ↑,
84', Hlynsson K. ↓, Vennegoor of Hesselink L. ↑,
84', Zerrouki R. ↓, Weidmann D. ↑,
88', Alarcon A. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
88', Zechiel G. ↓, Viergever N. ↑,
89', Barkas V. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 2.

Twente has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Utrecht is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Utrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Twente is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Twente: Hilgers M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Utrecht: Eerdhuijzen M. (Thigh Injury) Haller S. (Ribs Injury) Jensen V. (Knee Injury) Vesterlund N. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Twente: Booth T. (Muscle Injury) Orjasaeter S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Utrecht: van der Hoorn M. (Injury)

We predict that Twente will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Twente won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Twente	8	5	2	1	16:8	8	17
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11:24	-13	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
08.03.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Twente	1:4 ✺
01.03.26	Twente - Feyenoord	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Twente - Groningen	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Telstar - Twente	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Twente - Heerenveen	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWTW
- FC Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie
06.03.26	Heracles Almelo - Utrecht	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Utrecht - Zwolle	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Groningen - Utrecht	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	NEC Nijmegen - Utrecht	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch KNVB Beker
13.01.26	Utrecht - Twente	1:2
Dutch Eredivisie
07.12.25	Utrecht - Twente	1:1
11.05.25	Twente - Utrecht	2:0
01.09.24	Utrecht - Twente	2:1
18.02.24	Twente - Utrecht	0:1
05.11.23	Utrecht - Twente	1:1
16.04.23	Utrecht - Twente	1:0

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