Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 8

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Galgenwaard (Utrecht) 🌤️ ...

Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	07:15	Disney+
Brazil	07:15	Disney+
Canada	06:15	Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
Chile	07:15	Disney+
Colombia	05:15	Disney+
Croatia	12:15	SportKlub 7
Greece	13:15	Nova Sports Start
Kenya	13:15	Gotv
Mexico	04:15	Disney+
Netherlands	12:15	ESPN
Nigeria	11:15	SupeSport ESPN 1
Peru	05:15	Disney+
Slovenia	12:15	Sport TV3
South Africa	12:15	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	12:15	DAZN Espana
Uruguay	07:15	Disney+
Usa	06:15	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	06:15	Disney+
International	10:15	OneFootball TV


	Utrecht		Willem II

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	5.75	Watch
	1.53	4.50	5.50
	1.52	4.3	5.85
	1.56	4.8	5.5
	1.52	4.56	5.6	Watch
	1.52	4.55	5.6
	1.53	4.7	5.73	Watch
	1.53	4.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.49)	4.53 ↓ (4.64)	5.59 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Utrecht
62.1%

Draw
21%

Willem II
17%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.2%

20.3%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

17.1%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Utrecht that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Utrecht - Willem II Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.44) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

1X2 - FC Utrecht (1.53) (votes: 87%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Utrecht will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barkas V. (G) 2. Horemans S. 3. Didden M. 5. Panagiotou N. 23. Vesterlund N. 8. van Overeem J. (C) 38. Agougil O. 92. Zagre A. 80. Broholm M. 20. de Wit D. 10. Cathline Y.	26. Delanghe M. (G) 5. ter Avest H. (C) 3. Stam F. 23. Dekker M. 24. Tjoe a On N. 6. Twigt C. 52. Vilhena T. 7. Slory J. 19. van Aalst U. 32. van Crooij V. 9. Haen D.
Substitutes
11. Alarcon A. 39. Amrabat N. 15. Blake A. 33. Gadellaa K. (G) 32. Kloosterboer P. 18. Medic J. 6. Offerhaus G. 21. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 22. Padt S. (G) 34. van den Berg D. 17. van Duijn S.	2. Ciranni A. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 15. Et Taibi A. 50. Gurbuz E. 83. Lemmens M. 14. Mathijsen J. 17. Obi C. 10. Schuurman J. 21. van der Steen W. (G) 22. van Loon P. 28. Verheydt T. 18. Zarrouk A.
Coaches
Correia A.	Stegeman J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Cathline Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Cathline Y. ↓, van Duijn S. ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Cathline Y. ⚽, de Wit D. (A),
60', 1 - 1, Slory J. ⚽, van Crooij V. (A),
68', Zagre A. ↓, Kloosterboer P. ↑,
68', Vesterlund N. ↓, Alarcon A. ↑,
72', Slory J. ↓, Gurbuz E. ↑,
72', Vilhena T. ↓, Zarrouk A. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Cathline Y. ⚽, Agougil O. (A),
80', Panagiotou N. 🟨,
82', Broholm M. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
82', Agougil O. ↓, van den Berg D. ↑,
88', van Aalst U. ↓, Obi C. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Alarcon A. ⚽, Blake A. (A),

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 15th and 18th in the Relegation - Eerste Divisie).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 4.

In recent outings, Utrecht has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Willem II has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Utrecht for this game.

Confirmed absences for Utrecht: Engwanda A. (Hamstring Injury) Jensen V. (Knee Injury) Jonathans M. (Knee Injury) Ohio N. (Knee Injury) Paredes K. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Willem II: Culum A. (Foot Injury) Didillon Hodl T. (Hamstring Injury) Hoogma J. (Knee Injury) Lachkar A. (Groin Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Utrecht: Stepanov A. (Ankle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Willem II: Boogaard K. (Knock).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Utrecht has recorded 14 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 44:23 (averaging 2.2:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Utrecht against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 24:9 goals (averaging 2.4:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Utrecht	10	3	3	4	17:27	-10	12
18	Willem II	10	0	2	8	10:32	-22	2

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Utrecht: 0.17% Willem II: 0.06%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie
20.09.26	Feyenoord - Utrecht	5:0 ✺
13.09.26	Excelsior - Utrecht	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Utrecht - Go Ahead Eagles	3:3 ✺
30.08.26	Utrecht - PSV Eindhoven	1:6 ✺
22.08.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Utrecht	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTLT
- Willem II
Dutch Eredivisie
19.09.26	Willem II - Fortuna Sittard	0:1 ✺
15.09.26	Ajax - Willem II	5:1 ✺
11.09.26	AZ Alkmaar - Willem II	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Willem II - Excelsior	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Willem II - Heerenveen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
09.03.25	Willem II - Utrecht	2:3
21.09.24	Utrecht - Willem II	3:2
15.05.22	Willem II - Utrecht	3:0
31.10.21	Utrecht - Willem II	5:1
01.05.21	Utrecht - Willem II	3:2
19.02.21	Willem II - Utrecht	0:6
16.02.20	Willem II - Utrecht	1:1

Upcoming Matches