The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Utrecht 63.1%
Draw 20.5%
Willem II 16.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.2%
20.3%
16.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.2%
17.1%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Utrecht that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Utrecht - Willem II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 15th and 18th in the Relegation - Eerste Divisie).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 4.
Utrecht has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Willem II is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Utrecht for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Utrecht has recorded 14 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 44:23 (averaging 2.2:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Utrecht against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 24:9 goals (averaging 2.4:0.9 per game).