Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 22

Date: 27 January 2023, Friday

Location: Rabobank IJmond Stadion (Velsen-Zuid)

Referee: Vereijken R. (Ned)


	Telstar		Almere City

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.5
	2.5	3.1	2.6
	2.6	3.35	2.55
	2.65	3.2	2.48
	2.8	3.44	2.59
	2.6	3.1	2.55
	2.69	3.4	2.53	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.61)	3.28 ↓ (3.43)	2.54 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Telstar
34.9%

Draw
28.4%

Almere City
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

26.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

27.6%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Telstar have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.8%	47.6%	28.6%

Telstar - Almere City Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Telstar will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Almere City will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 47.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.2% – 69%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Telstar won 1.

Recent matches Almere City is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Telstar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Almere City: Mattoir F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Telstar: Blommestijn K. (Injury)

Last 22 head-to-head matches Telstar won 6 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 32-35.

Including matches at home between the teams Telstar won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Telstar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.01.23	Telstar - MVV Maastricht	5:3 ✺
21.01.23	Dordrecht - Telstar	0:0 ✺
13.01.23	Telstar - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
10.01.23	Twente - Telstar	3:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.01.23	FC Oss - Telstar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTWLL
- Almere City FC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.01.23	Almere City - De Graafschap	2:2 ✺
15.01.23	Almere City - Willem II	1:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
11.01.23	Almere City - NEC Nijmegen	0:4 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.01.23	Zwolle - Almere City	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.22	Groningen - Almere City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.09.22	Almere City - Telstar	0:1
30.01.22	Almere City - Telstar	0:0
10.09.21	Telstar - Almere City	1:1
12.04.21	Almere City - Telstar	1:1
11.12.20	Telstar - Almere City	2:3
31.01.20	Almere City - Telstar	4:2
18.10.19	Telstar - Almere City	1:0

Upcoming Matches