Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Espiñedo (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, TV Canaria


	Arenteiro		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.1	1.9
	4.15	3.2	1.85
	4.48	3.29	1.79
	4.69	3.33	1.8	Watch
	3.9	2.9	1.91
	4.24	3.13	1.84
	5.33	3.5	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↓ (5.24)	3.21 ↓ (3.43)	1.81 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arenteiro
20.9%

Draw
28.5%

Tenerife
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

26.6%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.7%

25.6%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tenerife might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tenerife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arenteiro - Tenerife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvin (G) 3. Lohr L. 16. Lasure D. 4. Falcon E. 22. Sanchez J. (C) 15. Moreno D. 25. Bastida A. 21. Lopez A. 7. Ferreiro D. 11. Cuellar J. 9. Ramon N.	1. Martin D. (G) 4. Leon J. 12. Landazuri A. 19. Alvarez C. 2. Rodriguez D. 16. Sanz A. (C) 6. Juanjo 15. Fabricio 14. Lopez N. 18. Enric 22. Valles G.
Substitutes
19. Alpha M. 13. Garcia D. (G) 8. Gonzalez D. 23. Kandoussi B. 18. Mingo V. 17. Molina A. 2. Moya P. 27. Rodriguez I. (G) 14. Safrai	3. Aguero F. 29. Fernandez D. 23. Jorge J. 13. Lozano de Vuyst G. (G) 20. Manjam A. 11. Mesa M. 28. Sabina F. 27. Ulloa A. 5. Yaakobishvili A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Lopez N. ↓, Manjam A. ↑,
69', Enric ↓, Sabina F. ↑,
69', Leon J. 🟨,
90+7', Lohr L. 🟨,
90+9', 🟨,
90+10', 0 - 1, Valles G. (Penalty Awarded),
90+11', Valles G. ↓, Yaakobishvili A. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

In recent matches, Arenteiro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tenerife is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Tenerife is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arenteiro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.02.26	Talavera de la Reina - Arenteiro	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Arenteiro - Real Avilés	6:3 ✺
30.01.26	Arenteiro - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Ferrol - Arenteiro	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Pontevedra - Arenteiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWTLT
- CD Tenerife
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.02.26	Tenerife - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Tenerife - CD Guadalajara	4:0 ✺
25.01.26	Tenerife - Real Madrid Castilla	4:2 ✺
17.01.26	Zamora - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.11.25	Tenerife - Arenteiro	1:0

Upcoming Matches