Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Municipal de Barreiro (Vigo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Celta de Vigo B		Real Avilés

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.62	3.6	4.95
	1.58	3.86	5.48
	1.72	3.7	4.58	Watch
	1.62	3.4	4.8
	1.66	3.63	5.19
	1.55	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.73)	3.63 ↑ (3.56)	5 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo B
56.5%

Draw
25.2%

Real Avilés
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

25.7%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

25%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Celta de Vigo B - Real Avilés Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 3. Ribes K. 26. Rodriguez A. 6. Meixus P. 23. Miller G. 16. Capdevila A. 19. Marcos O. 11. Arcos A. 7. Gonzalez H. 10. de la Iglesia D. 17. Somuah B.	13. Almodovar N. (G) 20. Campabadal E. 5. Babin J. 24. Lopez A. 26. Carracedo O. 21. Uzkudun A. 16. Gomez A. 8. Bautista K. 18. Gete A. 14. Cayarga B. 11. Rubio R.
Substitutes
8. Antanon A. 21. Bilbao L. 5. Burcio H. 13. Caio Barone (G) 25. Gonzalez M. (G) 32. Khayat A. 37. Kibet A. 9. Marin A. 14. Oliveras J. 4. Vazquez J.	17. Bari Q. 10. Cueto J. 1. Fernandez A. (G) 12. Grigore R. 22. Isi Ros 7. Luis Alcalde 19. Poquet N. 23. Rivera C. 9. Santamaria A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Bautista K. ⚽,
22', Campabadal E. 🟨,
29', Gete A. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Gonzalez H. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Ribes K. ↓, Burcio H. ↑,
46', Lopez A. ↓, Grigore R. ↑,
46', de la Iglesia D. ↓, Khayat A. ↑,
52', 1 - 2, Campabadal E. ⚽,
57', Cayarga B. ↓, Luis Alcalde ↑,
57', Rubio R. ↓, Santamaria A. ↑,
62', 2 - 2, Somuah B. ⚽,
66', Somuah B. ↓, Marin A. ↑,
70', Capdevila A. ↓, Antanon A. ↑,
73', 3 - 2, Marin A. ⚽,
77', Gomez A. 🟨,
78', Campabadal E. ↓, Bari Q. ↑,
80', Arcos A. ↓, Oliveras J. ↑,
84', Gete A. ↓, Cueto J. ↑,
87', 4 - 2, Burcio H. ⚽,
90', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 13).

In recent matches, Celta de Vigo B has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real Avilés has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Real Avilés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Celta de Vigo B is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta de Vigo B won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Celta de Vigo B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Real Aviles	6	1	2	3	9:10	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.02.26	Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Celta de Vigo B - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:0 ✺
23.01.26	Celta de Vigo B - Zamora	3:3 ✺
17.01.26	Talavera de la Reina - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Celta de Vigo B - Barakaldo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWTTL
- Real Avilés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.02.26	Arenteiro - Real Avilés	6:3 ✺
31.01.26	Real Avilés - Mérida AD	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Real Avilés - Lugo	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Avilés	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Real Avilés - Pontevedra	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.11.25	Real Avilés - Celta de Vigo B	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.03.15	Celta de Vigo B - Real Avilés	2:0
02.11.14	Real Avilés - Celta de Vigo B	2:1
02.02.14	Celta de Vigo B - Real Avilés	1:3
22.09.13	Real Avilés - Celta de Vigo B	4:0

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