Match Info

MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 6 September 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Gregorio "Tepa" Gómez (Tepatitlán)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Hi! Sports, TVC Deportes
World	Disney+


	Tepatitlán de Morelos		Celaya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.9	3.3	1.77
	4.2	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.38	3.68	1.85
	4.18	3.55	1.84	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.73
	4.21	3.52	1.8	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↑ (4.17)	3.49 ↓ (3.66)	1.8 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tepatitlán de Morelos
22.1%

Draw
26.5%

Celaya
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

25.5%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Tepatitlán de Morelos - Celaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz Quirarte R. (G) 21. Aguilar M. 24. Cardona U. 17. Lorona L. 16. Pastrana E. 6. Ruiz A. 13. Saavedra J. (C) 25. Soto A. 10. Tamay A. 11. Vallejo M. 27. Vazquez S.	1. Mora-Mora S. (G) 22. Baltazar C. 31. Barragan M. 8. de los Santos L. 10. Dominguez A. 28. Gamboa J. 14. Manriquez S. 3. Monreal E. 4. Munoz J. 20. Tovar J. 23. Vazquez J. (C)
Substitutes
22. Barra M. 12. Bravo W. (G) 19. Castaneda S. 15. Cruz Jorge J. F. 3. Hernandez D. 5. Hernandez M. 28. Hernandez Sotelo A. E. 9. Machado J. 8. Montano T. 35. Rodriguez Vazquez B.	25. Blanco D. 2. Cervantes D. 156. Chaurand K. 6. Del Angel E. 29. Espinoza G. (G) 30. Hernandez J. 7. Martinez J. 11. Tejeda D. 9. Wlk Dure A. S.
Coaches
Real H.	Blanco Soto S. R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Baltazar C. ⚽,
17', Diaz Quirarte R. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Lorona L. ⚽,
38', Dominguez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Soto A. 🟨,
52', Mora-Mora S. ↓, Espinoza G. ↑,
58', Tamay A. ↓, Rodriguez Vazquez B. ↑,
58', Lorona L. ↓, Hernandez Sotelo A. E. ↑,
64', Gamboa J. 🟨,
66', Vallejo M. ↓, Machado J. ↑,
66', Pastrana E. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
69', Gamboa J. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
69', de los Santos L. ↓, Del Angel E. ↑,
69', Manriquez S. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
81', Vazquez J. ↓, Wlk Dure A. S. ↑,
81', Vazquez S. ↓, Cruz Jorge J. F. ↑,
87', Rodriguez Vazquez B. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Aguilar M. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tepatitlán won 0.

Tepatitlán is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Celaya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Celaya is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Tepatitlán won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Tepatitlán won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tepatitlán de Morelos
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
01.09.24	Tapatío - Tepatitlán de Morelos	2:0 ✺
25.08.24	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlante	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Atlético Morelia - Tepatitlán de Morelos	2:1 ✺
10.08.24	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Tlaxcala	0:0 ✺
03.08.24	Cancún - Tepatitlán de Morelos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLTL
- Atlético Celaya
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
31.08.24	Celaya - Atlético La Paz	5:0 ✺
22.08.24	Correcaminos UAT - Celaya	1:1 ✺
18.08.24	Celaya - Dorados	3:1 ✺
09.08.24	Venados - Celaya	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.06.24	Celaya - Petroleros Salamanca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
29.02.24	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Celaya	0:2
19.08.23	Celaya - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:1
09.03.23	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Celaya	1:2
09.08.22	Celaya - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:0
06.01.22	Celaya - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:1
09.09.21	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Celaya	0:1
12.01.21	Celaya - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:1

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