Match Info

MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Marte R. Gómez (Ciudad Victoria)

Referee: Rodriguez A. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fox Sports, TVC Deportes


	Correcaminos UAT		Celaya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.05
	3.3	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.44	3.51	2.13
	3.36	3.33	2.14	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.1
	3.32	3.34	2.09	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.5)	3.34 ↑ (3.2)	2.09 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Correcaminos UAT
28.2%

Draw
27.6%

Celaya
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Correcaminos UAT's form might have worsened.

Celaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Celaya's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Correcaminos UAT - Celaya Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Correcaminos will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Celaya will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Castellanos R. (G) 8. Chavez A. 7. Cisneros D. 9. Flores A. 10. Hernandez E. 13. Moreno G. (C) 2. Pineda I. 31. Salas F. 15. Salazar A. 17. Tede F. 19. Trevino S.	1. Mora-Mora S. (G) 22. Baltazar C. 31. Barragan M. 25. Blanco D. 2. Cervantes D. 8. de los Santos L. 10. Dominguez A. 28. Gamboa J. 14. Manriquez S. 20. Tovar J. 23. Vazquez J. (C)
Substitutes
11. Espinosa Y. 20. Estopier J. 28. Lopez M. 84. Martinez J. (G) 29. Medellin S. 5. Perez J. 101. Rincon D. 87. Velazquez H. 30. Villareal A. 33. Zapata M.	156. Chaurand K. 6. Del Angel E. 29. Espinoza G. (G) 30. Hernandez J. 3. Monreal E. 17. Montejano E. 4. Munoz J. 11. Tejeda D. 9. Wlk Dure A. S.
Coaches
Cortez F.	Blanco Soto S. R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', de los Santos L. 🟨,
45+1', Cervantes D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Trevino S. ↓, Villareal A. ↑,
53', Cervantes D. 🟨,
60', de los Santos L. ↓, Del Angel E. ↑,
60', Baltazar C. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Gamboa J. ⚽,
76', Salas F. ↓, Espinosa Y. ↑,
76', Cisneros D. ↓, Estopier J. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Estopier J. ⚽,
80', Barragan M. ↓, Tejeda D. ↑,
81', Hernandez E. ↓, Zapata M. ↑,
81', Flores A. ↓, Velazquez H. ↑,
86', Estopier J. 🟨,
90', Tovar J. 🟨,
90+1', Gamboa J. ↓, Wlk Dure A. S. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Correcaminos won 1.

Celaya will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Correcaminos won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 20-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Correcaminos won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Correcaminos UAT
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
15.08.24	Jaiba Brava - Correcaminos UAT	0:0 ✺
08.08.24	Correcaminos UAT - Atlético La Paz	5:1 ✺
03.08.24	Tlaxcala - Correcaminos UAT	3:2 ✺
11.04.24	Atlante - Correcaminos UAT	4:0 ✺
27.03.24	Correcaminos UAT - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWLLL
- Atlético Celaya
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
18.08.24	Celaya - Dorados	3:1 ✺
09.08.24	Venados - Celaya	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.06.24	Celaya - Petroleros Salamanca	1:0 ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
27.04.24	Tapatío - Celaya	2:0 ✺
24.04.24	Celaya - Tapatío	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
25.01.24	Celaya - Correcaminos UAT	2:0
06.10.23	Correcaminos UAT - Celaya	0:1
12.04.23	Correcaminos UAT - Celaya	0:1
16.10.22	Celaya - Correcaminos UAT	0:3
22.02.22	Celaya - Correcaminos UAT	1:1
28.09.21	Correcaminos UAT - Celaya	1:0
06.04.21	Correcaminos UAT - Celaya	1:2

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