Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 16

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza (Nieciecza)

Referee: Szczech L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP 3


	Termalica Nieciecza		Miedź Legnica

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.25	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.1
	2.15	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.09	3.35	3.1
	2.17	3.47	3.16	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3
	2.13	3.48	3.08	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.1)	3.45 ↑ (3.44)	3.11 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Termalica Nieciecza
43.7%

Draw
26.7%

Miedź Legnica
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.3%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

28.2%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Miedź Legnica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Termalica Nieciecza - Miedź Legnica Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Miedź will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chovan A. (G) 23. Spendlhofer L. 29. Isik G. 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 6. Wolski M. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 8. Dombrovskiy A. 17. Zaviyskyi T. 10. Karasek K. 12. Wrobel J. 86. Strzalek I.	44. Wrabel J. (G) 17. Kostka M. 5. Kovacevic A. 99. Kwiecien B. 26. Hartherz F. 27. Letniowski J. 10. Mioc B. 14. Drygas K. (C) 69. Michalik D. 22. Kaczmarski I. 98. Antonik K.
Substitutes
35. Deisadze D. 18. Farbiszewski B. 21. Hilbrycht D. 99. Mleczko M. (G) 90. Nowakowski J. 16. Planeta T. 77. Putivtsev A. 80. Rozycki J. 25. Zapolnik K.	31. Abramowicz M. (G) 7. Bida B. 19. Drina A. 11. Drzazga K. 3. Leonczyk J. 71. Maliszewski I. 95. Mansfeld M. 25. Mijuskovic N. 6. Podgorski J.
Coaches
Brosz M.	Mamrot I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Isik G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Wrobel J. ↓, Zapolnik K. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Isik G. (Own goal),
55', Kostka M. 🟨,
61', Zaviyskyi T. 🟨,
64', Kostka M. 🟨,
67', Ambrosiewicz M. ↓, Nowakowski J. ↑,
67', Zaviyskyi T. ↓, Hilbrycht D. ↑,
68', Michalik D. ↓, Podgorski J. ↑,
68', Drygas K. ↓, Drina A. ↑,
77', Antonik K. ↓, Bida B. ↑,
82', Mioc B. ↓, Mansfeld M. ↑,
84', Spendlhofer L. ↓, Putivtsev A. ↑,
84', Dombrovskiy A. ↓, Deisadze D. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Putivtsev A. ⚽, Hilbrycht D. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Termalica won 2.

Recent matches Termalica is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Miedź is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Termalica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Termalica will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Termalica won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:16 (average 1.2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Termalica won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Division 1
02.11.24	Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza	0:2 ✺
26.10.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Arka Gdynia	2:1 ✺
18.10.24	Wisła Kraków - Termalica Nieciecza	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Znicz Pruszków	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Polonia Warsaw - Termalica Nieciecza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLLW
- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
03.11.24	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce	4:1 ✺
Polish Cup
31.10.24	Miedź Legnica - Legia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
26.10.24	Odra Opole - Miedź Legnica	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	Miedź Legnica - Chrobry Głogów	1:0 ✺
04.10.24	Warta Poznań - Miedź Legnica	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
18.12.23	Miedź Legnica - Termalica Nieciecza	2:2
29.07.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Miedź Legnica	1:4
08.05.21	Termalica Nieciecza - Miedź Legnica	0:2
15.11.20	Miedź Legnica - Termalica Nieciecza	2:3
20.06.20	Miedź Legnica - Termalica Nieciecza	0:1
21.09.19	Termalica Nieciecza - Miedź Legnica	0:1
19.04.15	Termalica Nieciecza - Miedź Legnica	2:1

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