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Current Win Probability
Termalica Nieciecza 16%
Draw 23.7%
Widzew Łódź 60.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
26.1%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
24.7%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Termalica Nieciecza's form might have worsened.
Widzew Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Widzew Łódź's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+20.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Termalica Nieciecza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-22.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Widzew Łódź, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Widzew (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Widzew (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Mleczko M. (G) 29. Isik G. 5. Masoero L. 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 27. Boboc R. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 23. Mini 21. Hilbrycht D. 7. Fassbender M. 9. Jimenez J. 53. Trubeha A.
30. Ilic V. (G) 91. Krajewski M. 5. Andreou S. 14. Visus R. 16. Therkildsen P. 10. Alvarez F. 25. Hanousek Mar. 55. Czyz S. 57. Akere S. 99. Bergier S. 7. Fornalczyk M.
Substitutes
17. Biniek D. 1. Chovan A. (G) 35. Deisadze D. 26. Jakubik W. 2. Kopacz B. 13. Kubica K. 8. Kurzawa R. 77. Putivtsev A. 86. Strzalek I. 25. Zapolnik K.
77. Baena Perez A. 27. Ba P. M. 13. Gallapeni D. 98. Kikolski M. (G) 3. Kozlovsky S. 19. Pawlowski B. 18. Selahi L. 6. Shehu J. 8. Teklic T. 9. Zeqiri A. 4. Zyro M.
Coaches
Brosz M.
Czubak P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', Hanousek Mar. ↓, Shehu J. ↑,
20', 1 - 0, Guerrero S. ⚽,
27', Bergier S. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Bergier S. ⚽, Therkildsen P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
51', Trubeha A. ↓, Strzalek I. ↑,
52', Akere S. 🟨,
54', 1 - 2, Alvarez F. ⚽, Akere S. (A),
57', 1 - 3, Alvarez F. ⚽, Fornalczyk M. (A),
63', Bergier S. ↓, Zeqiri A. ↑,
63', Akere S. ↓, Baena Perez A. ↑,
65', Boboc R. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
65', Fassbender M. ↓, Kubica K. ↑,
67', 1 - 4, Alvarez F. ⚽,
79', Jimenez J. ↓, Putivtsev A. ↑,
79', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Deisadze D. ↑,
82', 2 - 4, Guerrero S. ⚽, Jakubik W. (A),
86', Czyz S. ↓, Selahi L. ↑,
86', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Ba P. M. ↑,
90+1', Putivtsev A. 🟨,
Preview
Termalica is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Widzew has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Termalica Nieciecza - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.31%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.
Widzew Łódź - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.59%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Canada
Croatia
Poland
Usa
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Mleczko M. (G) 
Isik G. 
Masoero L. 
Boboc R. 
Mini 
Ilic V. (G) 
Andreou S. 
Therkildsen P. 
Hanousek Mar. 
Akere S. 
Chovan A. (G) 
Deisadze D. 
Putivtsev A. 
Ba P. M. 
Gallapeni D. 
Selahi L. 
Teklic T. 
Zeqiri A. 
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