Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 13

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza (Nieciecza)

Referee: Kochanek M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Termalica Nieciecza		Zagłębie Lubin

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	3	Watch
				Watch
	2.32	3.4	2.78	Watch
	2.4	3.5	3.02
	2.26	3.73	2.88	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.86	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.46)	3.54 ↑ (3.14)	2.9 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Termalica Nieciecza
40.7%

Draw
26.7%

Zagłębie Lubin
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

28.4%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

28.5%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	16.7%	45.8%

Termalica Nieciecza - Zagłębie Lubin Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zagłębie Lubin: 25.9% – 65.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Termalica (votes: 3 - 30%). Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.5 - Zagłębie Lubin (2.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Zagłębie Lubin (1.99) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Termalica (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chovan A. (G) 29. Isik G. 2. Kopacz B. 77. Putivtsev A. (C) 21. Hilbrycht D. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 13. Kubica K. 27. Boboc R. 23. Guerrero S. 25. Zapolnik K. 86. Strzalek I.	1. Buric J. (C) 16. Corluka J. 5. Lawniczak A. 25. Nalepa M. 3. Yakuba R. 6. Makowski T. 39. Kocaba F. 44. Regula M. 20. Dziewiatowski M. 35. Lucic L. 55. Rocha L.
Substitutes
17. Biniek D. 7. Fassbender M. 26. Jakubik W. 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 8. Kurzawa R. 5. Masoero L. 99. Mleczko M. (G) 55. Thiago Dombroski 53. Trubeha A.	27. Diaz J. 12. Gikiewicz R. (G) 26. Kolan J. 9. Kosidis M. 4. Michalski D. 7. Mroz M. 71. Nowogonski K. 99. Popielec C. 18. Radwanski A. 77. Szmyt K. 11. Wozniak A.
Coaches
Brosz M.	Ojrzynski L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Strzalek I. 🟨,
37', Putivtsev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Rocha L. ⚽, Regula M. (A),
57', 1 - 1, Ambrosiewicz M. (Pen),
58', Lucic L. 🟨,
68', Boboc R. ↓, Fassbender M. ↑,
68', Regula M. ↓, Szmyt K. ↑,
68', Dziewiatowski M. ↓, Radwanski A. ↑,
70', Lucic L. 🟨,
75', Putivtsev A. ↓, Kasperkiewicz A. ↑,
75', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
75', Rocha L. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
85', Guerrero S. 🟨,
85', Ambrosiewicz M. ↓, Trubeha A. ↑,
85', Strzalek I. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
85', Makowski T. ↓, Michalski D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 0.

Termalica is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Zagłębie Lubin is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Termalica: Wolski M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M. (Broken Leg) Sypek J. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D. (Injury)

We predict that Zagłębie Lubin will win today's game, with odds of 2.8.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.10.25	Wisła Płock - Termalica Nieciecza	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź	2:4 ✺
27.09.25	Piast Gliwice - Termalica Nieciecza	4:2 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź	2:3 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.09.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Lech Poznań	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.10.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin	3:1 ✺
29.09.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Arka Gdynia	4:0 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.25	Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin	0:2 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.09.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Motor Lublin	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
11.03.22	Termalica Nieciecza - Zagłębie Lubin	0:2
17.09.21	Zagłębie Lubin - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1
02.12.17	Zagłębie Lubin - Termalica Nieciecza	4:2
28.07.17	Termalica Nieciecza - Zagłębie Lubin	1:1
02.12.16	Termalica Nieciecza - Zagłębie Lubin	0:1
31.07.16	Zagłębie Lubin - Termalica Nieciecza	2:0
04.12.15	Zagłębie Lubin - Termalica Nieciecza	2:0

Upcoming Matches