Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 9

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin)

Referee: Karski L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Poland	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Zagłębie Lubin		Motor Lublin

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.7	3.5	Watch
	2.1	3.55	3.1
	2.04	3.87	3.46
	1.43	4.62	6.70	Watch
	2.09	3.68	3.21	Watch
	2.01	3.55	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.05)	3.83 ↑ (3.7)	3.87 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Lubin
49.8%

Draw
25.2%

Motor Lublin
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

25.5%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

25.2%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Zagłębie Lubin - Motor Lublin Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Motor will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Motor (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Motor (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 1 - 25%). Motor (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hladun D. (G) 35. Lucic L. 5. Lawniczak A. 25. Nalepa M. 16. Corluka J. 8. Dabrowski D. (C) 39. Kocaba F. 77. Szmyt K. 18. Radwanski A. 44. Regula M. 55. Rocha L.	1. Brkic I. (G) 28. Stolarski P. 39. Bartos M. 2. Meyer P. 24. Luberecki F. 21. Labojko J. 26. Krol M. 7. Rodrigues I. 68. Wolski B. (C) 19. van Hoeven B. 9. Czubak K.
Substitutes
1. Buric J. (G) 27. Diaz J. 20. Dziewiatowski M. 26. Kolan J. 9. Kosidis M. 6. Makowski T. 4. Michalski D. 31. Orlikowski I. 19. Sypek J. 17. Wdowiak M. 11. Wozniak A. 3. Yakuba R.	77. Dadashov R. 42. Ede B. 11. Fabio Ronaldo 10. Karasek K. 30. Ndiaye M. 47. Palacz K. 6. Samper S. 8. Scalet M. 33. Tratnik G. (G) 17. Wojcik F.
Coaches
Ojrzynski L.	Stolarski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Rodrigues I. 🟨,
6', 1 - 0, Rocha L. ⚽, Regula M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', van Hoeven B. ↓, Fabio Ronaldo ↑,
46', Krol M. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Labojko J. ⚽,
52', 1 - 2, Fabio Ronaldo ⚽, Ndiaye M. (A),
58', Regula M. 🟨,
63', Radwanski A. ↓, Wdowiak M. ↑,
63', Regula M. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
63', Rocha L. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
65', Nalepa M. 🟨,
67', Labojko J. 🟨,
69', Stolarski P. ↓, Wojcik F. ↑,
69', Labojko J. ↓, Samper S. ↑,
71', Meyer P. 🟨,
77', Wolski B. 🟨,
81', Wolski B. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
81', Corluka J. ↓, Yakuba R. ↑,
82', Lucic L. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Kosidis M. (Pen),
90+3', Kocaba F. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Motor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zagłębie Lubin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M. (Broken Leg) Mroz M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Motor: Najemski A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Corluka J. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa
12.09.25	Lech Poznań - Zagłębie Lubin	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Piast Gliwice	2:2 ✺
25.08.25	Wisła Płock - Zagłębie Lubin	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk	6:2 ✺
01.08.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Korona Kielce	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTLWT
- Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa
14.09.25	Motor Lublin - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Górnik Zabrze - Motor Lublin	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Korona Kielce - Motor Lublin	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Motor Lublin - Piast Gliwice	0:0 ✺
11.08.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Motor Lublin	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
18.05.25	Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0
22.11.24	Zagłębie Lubin - Motor Lublin	1:2
Polish Cup
19.10.22	Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0 ET

Upcoming Matches