Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 6

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Ternana		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	4	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.75	Watch
	2.09	3.16	4.29
	2.1	3	3.2
	2.08	3.16	3.78	Watch
	2.16	3.15	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.28)	3.13 ↓ (3.27)	3.76 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
44.9%

Draw
30.1%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

28.6%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

29.3%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Südtirol-Alto Adige might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	0%	43.7%

Ternana - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Südtirol will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ternana: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 23. Diakite S. 19. Capuano M. 13. Mantovani V. 15. Casasola T. 71. Luperini G. 25. Labojko J. 27. Favasuli C. 91. Corrado N. 9. Raimondo A. 10. Falletti C.	1. Poluzzi G. (G) 30. Giorgini A. 5. Vinetot K. 55. Masiello A. 24. Davi S. 11. Ciervo R. 21. Tait F. 15. Broh J. T. 77. Lonardi L. 17. Casiraghi D. 90. Odogwu R.
Substitutes
3. Celli A. 8. de Boer K. 65. Dionisi F. 28. Di Stefano F. 17. Favilli A. 77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 44. Lucchesi L. 73. Marginean I. 66. Pyyhtia N. 4. Sorensen F. 33. Travaglini C. 18. Vitali T. (G)	3. Cagnano A. 26. Cisco A. 14. Cuomo G. 12. Drago G. (G) 6. Ghiringhelli L. 28. Kofler R. 8. Lunetta G. 9. Pecorino E. 42. Peeters D. 23. Rauti N. 18. Rover M. 27. Shiba C.
Coaches
Lucarelli C.	Bisoli P.

Preview

Ternana has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Südtirol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ternana will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ternana won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ternana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
17.09.23	Como - Ternana	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Ternana - Bari	0:0 ✺
30.08.23	Ternana - Cremonese	0:1 ✺
27.08.23	Catanzaro - Ternana	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Ternana - Sampdoria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
16.09.23	Nuova Cosenza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:2 ✺
02.09.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Ascoli	3:1 ✺
26.08.23	FeralpiSalò - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:2 ✺
20.08.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Spezia	3:3 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.08.23	Sampdoria - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
06.05.23	Ternana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1
11.12.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Ternana	0:0
Italian Serie C Group B
14.04.19	Ternana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1
12.12.18	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Ternana	2:1

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