Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 9

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Referee: Baroni N. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Cittadella		Ternana

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.2
	2.25	3	3.4	Watch
	2.32	3.1	3.65
	2.05	3.3	3.6
	2.19	3.22	3.4	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.15)	3.13 ↓ (3.28)	3.44 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
42.4%

Draw
30.2%

Ternana
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28.4%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.7%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	33.3%	8.3%

Cittadella - Ternana Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Ternana will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cittadella: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Kastrati E. (G) 2. Salvi A. 26. Pavan N. 4. Angeli M. 24. Carissoni L. 16. Vita A. 23. Branca S. (C) 20. Carriero G. 10. Cassano C. 32. Maistrello T. 11. Pittarello F.	1. Iannarilli A. (G) 23. Diakite S. 19. Capuano M. 3. Celli A. 15. Casasola T. 71. Luperini G. 25. Labojko J. 91. Corrado N. 28. Di Stefano F. 10. Falletti C. (C) 9. Raimondo A.
Substitutes
8. Amatucci F. 92. Baldini E. 27. Danzi A. 17. Kornvig E. 9. Magrassi A. 77. Maniero L. (G) 5. Mastrantonio V. 7. Pandolfi L. 28. Rizza A. 21. Saggionetto N. 74. Sanogo A. 18. Tessiore A.	6. Alba T. 8. de Boer K. 65. Dionisi F. 27. Favasuli C. 77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 44. Lucchesi L. 13. Mantovani V. 66. Pyyhtia N. 4. Sorensen F. 33. Travaglini C. 18. Vitali T. (G)
Coaches
Gorini E.	Lucarelli C.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Cittadella will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
01.10.23	Cittadella - Lecco	2:1 ✺
27.09.23	Catanzaro - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Cittadella - Como	0:3 ✺
18.09.23	Sampdoria - Cittadella	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	Cittadella - Venezia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTLWT
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
30.09.23	Ternana - Reggiana	3:0 ✺
26.09.23	Ascoli - Ternana	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Ternana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Como - Ternana	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Ternana - Bari	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
25.02.23	Ternana - Cittadella	1:2
01.10.22	Cittadella - Ternana	0:2
02.04.22	Cittadella - Ternana	1:2
20.11.21	Ternana - Cittadella	1:1
07.04.18	Ternana - Cittadella	5:1
04.11.17	Cittadella - Ternana	1:1
28.01.17	Ternana - Cittadella	1:0

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