Match Info

Serie B - Round 11

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo (Catanzaro)

Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Catanzaro		Venezia

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.45	3.1	2.12	Watch
	2.75	3.49	2.30	Watch
	3.69	3.28	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.25	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.75)	3.26 ↓ (3.49)	2.17 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catanzaro
28%

Draw
28.8%

Venezia
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

26.4%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

25.6%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Catanzaro's form might have worsened.

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	40%	33.3%

Catanzaro - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Venezia will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 84. Cassandro T. 4. Matias Antonini 23. Brighenti N. 27. Favasuli C. 98. Buglio D. 32. Rispoli F. 20. Pontisso S. 17. Di Chiara G. 9. Iemmello P. (C) 80. Cisse A.	1. Stankovic F. (G) 3. Schingtienne J. 30. Svoboda M. (C) 33. Sverko M. 18. Hainaut A. 6. Busio G. 37. Bohinen E. 71. Perez K. 19. Bjarkason B. 9. Adorante A. 10. Yeboah J.
Substitutes
30. Alesi G. 5. Bashi E. 18. Bettella D. 45. Buso N. 77. D'Alessandro M. 14. Liberali M. 1. Marietta C. (G) 19. Nuamah P. 28. Oudin R. 7. Pandolfi L. 10. Petriccione J. 8. Pittarello F.	80. Casas A. 8. Doumbia I. 32. Duncan A. 7. Fila D. 4. Franjic B. 23. Grandi M. (G) 5. Haps R. 2. Korac S. 24. Lella N. 99. Pietrelli A. 20. Sagrado R. 16. Venturi M.
Coaches
Aquilani A.	Stroppa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Perez K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Di Chiara G. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
54', 1 - 0, Iemmello P. ⚽,
60', 1 - 1, Yeboah J. ⚽, Perez K. (A),
60', Nuamah P. 🟨,
60', Svoboda M. 🟨,
62', Bjarkason B. ↓, Pietrelli A. ↑,
62', Bohinen E. ↓, Doumbia I. ↑,
67', Sverko M. ↓, Franjic B. ↑,
74', Adorante A. 🟨,
75', Pontisso S. ↓, Alesi G. ↑,
75', Cisse A. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
76', Favasuli C. 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, Alesi G. ⚽,
85', Adorante A. ↓, Casas A. ↑,
85', Pietrelli A. ↓, Fila D. ↑,
86', Hainaut A. 🟨,
90', Rispoli F. ↓, Bashi E. ↑,
90+2', Iemmello P. ↓, Liberali M. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Venezia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Catanzaro: Buso N. (Inactive) Di Francesco F. (Injury) Frosinini R. (Injury) Pompetti M. (Shin Injury) Verrengia B. (Injury)

There will not play in Venezia: Compagnon M. (Inactive) Conde C. (Broken Leg) Duncan A. (Inactive) Plizzari A. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Catanzaro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Catanzaro - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.52%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
29.10.25	Mantova - Catanzaro	1:3 ✺
25.10.25	Catanzaro - Palermo	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Catanzaro - Padova	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Monza - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Sampdoria - Catanzaro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLLT
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
29.10.25	Venezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Carrarese - Venezia	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Empoli - Venezia	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Venezia - Frosinone	3:0 ✺
30.09.25	Palermo - Venezia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.05.24	Catanzaro - Venezia	3:2
10.11.23	Venezia - Catanzaro	2:1

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