Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 32

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Referee: Gualtieri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Ternana		Modena

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.4	Watch
	3	3.1	2.37
	3	3.1	2.4	Watch
	3.29	3.16	2.49
	3.29	3.05	2.49
	2.7	3.3	2.45
	3.01	3.22	2.41	Watch
	3	3.15	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.84)	3.16 ↓ (3.18)	2.42 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
31.1%

Draw
29.9%

Modena
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

29.7%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

29.7%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Ternana - Modena Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 5. Boloca G. 19. Capuano M. (C) 44. Lucchesi L. 15. Casasola T. 71. Luperini G. 16. Faticanti G. 66. Pyyhtia N. 79. Carboni F. 10. Pereiro G. 17. Favilli A.	12. Seculin A. (G) 3. Ponsi F. 19. Zaro G. 4. Pergreffi A. 8. Santoro S. 6. Magnino L. 5. Palumbo A. 29. Cotali M. 10. Tremolada L. 7. Duca E. 9. Gliozzi E.
Substitutes
72. Amatucci L. 6. Dalle Mura C. 8. de Boer K. 65. Dionisi F. 28. Di Stefano F. 27. Favasuli C. 22. Franchi D. (G) 25. Labojko J. 73. Marginean I. 9. Raimondo A. 4. Sorensen F. 3. Zoia R.	90. Abiuso F. 23. Battistella T. 30. Bozhanaj K. 91. Corrado N. 73. Di Stefano L. 26. Gagno R. (G) 31. Leonardi T. (G) 42. Mondele L. 99. Oukhadda S. 27. Riccio A. 32. Strizzolo L.
Coaches
Breda R.	Bianco P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Cotali M. 🟨,
32', Boloca G. 🟨,
38', Carboni F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Boloca G. ↓, Dalle Mura C. ↑,
54', Faticanti G. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
54', Favilli A. ↓, Amatucci L. ↑,
57', Duca E. ↓, Di Stefano L. ↑,
57', Gliozzi E. ↓, Abiuso F. ↑,
66', Pyyhtia N. ↓, Raimondo A. ↑,
66', Pereiro G. ↓, de Boer K. ↑,
67', Cotali M. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
67', Tremolada L. ↓, Oukhadda S. ↑,
68', 🟨,
68', Zaro G. 🟨,
79', Ponsi F. ↓, Riccio A. ↑,
83', Pergreffi A. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ternana won 2.

Recent matches Ternana is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Modena is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ternana won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Ternana won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
01.04.24	Sampdoria - Ternana	4:1 ✺
16.03.24	Ternana - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Pisa - Ternana	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Ternana - Parma	1:3 ✺
27.02.24	Palermo - Ternana	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWLLW
- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
01.04.24	Modena - Bari	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Cittadella - Modena	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Modena - FeralpiSalò	2:3 ✺
03.03.24	Modena - Cremonese	0:1 ✺
28.02.24	Pisa - Modena	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.10.23	Modena - Ternana	2:1
28.01.23	Ternana - Modena	2:1
27.08.22	Modena - Ternana	4:1
30.01.16	Ternana - Modena	2:1
18.09.15	Modena - Ternana	1:0
16.05.15	Modena - Ternana	1:2
24.12.14	Ternana - Modena	1:0

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