The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Modena 57.9%
Draw 25.5%
Catanzaro 16.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54%
26.3%
19.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.6%
26.6%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
10%
15%
Modena - Catanzaro Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 56% โ 94%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH -0.75 - Modena (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Modena will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Modena (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Chichizola L. (C) 77. Tonoli D. 28. Adorni D. 20. Nieling B. 2. Beyuku G. 5. Sersanti A. 8. Santoro S. 16. Gerli F. 7. Zampano F. 17. Massolin Y. 11. Mendes P.
22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 84. Cassandro T. 18. Bettella D. 4. Matias Antonini 27. Favasuli C. 32. Rispoli F. 20. Pontisso S. 10. Petriccione J. 77. D'Alessandro M. 9. Iemmello P. (C) 80. Cisse A.
Substitutes
10. Caso G. 33. Cauz C. 92. Defrel G. 25. Dellavalle A. 23. Di Mariano F. 9. Gliozzi E. 6. Magnino L. 19. Nador S. 4. Pergreffi A. 22. Pezzolato M. (G) 18. Pyyhtia N. 98. Zanimacchia L.
30. Alesi G. 5. Bashi E. 45. Buso N. 17. Di Chiara G. 94. Di Francesco F. 62. Frosinini R. 14. Liberali M. 1. Marietta C. (G) 19. Nuamah P. 28. Oudin R. 7. Pandolfi L. 8. Pittarello F.
Coaches
Sottil A.
Aquilani A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Bettella D. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Mendes P. ⚽, Massolin Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Bettella D. ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
52', Cassandro T. 🟨,
57', Rispoli F. ↓, Pittarello F. ↑,
62', Massolin Y. ↓, Di Mariano F. ↑,
62', Sersanti A. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Matias Antonini ⚽, Pontisso S. (A),
69', Beyuku G. ↓, Zanimacchia L. ↑,
69', Mendes P. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
75', Iemmello P. ↓, Buso N. ↑,
75', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
84', Santoro S. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Pittarello F. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Pontisso S. ↓, Bashi E. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In recent matches, Modena has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Catanzaro is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Modena is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Modena: Cotali M.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Catanzaro: Brighenti N.
(Yellow Cards)
Nuamah P.
(Inactive)
Pompetti M.
(Shin Injury)
Verrengia B.
(Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).