Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 20

Date: 29 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Referee: Galipo S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Cittadella		Palermo

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.88	2.6	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.45
	3	3	2.5	Watch
	3.67	3.05	2.31
	3.15	2.9	2.58	Watch
	3.25	3	2.25
	3.1	2.91	2.59	Watch
	3	2.95	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.84)	2.95 ↓ (3.06)	2.47 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cittadella
29.8%

Draw
32%

Palermo
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

30.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

30.2%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.9%	38.9%	22.2%

Cittadella - Palermo Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Palermo will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cittadella: 16.4% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Kastrati E. (G) 2. Salvi A. 26. Pavan N. 24. Carissoni L. 19. D'Alessio F. 17. Tronchin S. 5. Casolari F. 8. Amatucci F. 32. Masciangelo E. 16. Vita A. 7. Pandolfi L.	1. Desplanches S. (G) 43. Nikolaou D. 4. Baniya R. 32. Ceccaroni P. 3. Lund K. 8. Segre J. (C) 10. Ranocchia F. 14. Vasic A. 27. Pierozzi N. 21. Le Douaron J. 11. Insigne R.
Substitutes
23. Branca S. 10. Cassano C. 64. Cecchetto A. 11. Desogus J. 9. Magrassi A. 78. Maniero L. (G) 35. Piccinini S. 21. Rabbi S. 91. Ravasio M. 28. Rizza A. 22. Scquizzato E. (G) 20. Voltan D.	19. Appuah S. 9. Brunori M. 25. Buttaro A. 63. Cutrona F. (G) 6. Gomes C. 20. Henry T. 18. Nedelcearu I. 30. Saric D. 46. Sirigu S. (G) 26. Verre V.
Coaches
Dal Canto A.	Dionisi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Nikolaou D. 🟨,
27', Casolari F. 🟨,
32', Salvi A. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Vita A. ⚽, D'Alessio F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Insigne R. ↓, Brunori M. ↑,
51', D'Alessio F. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Lund K. ⚽,
67', Amatucci F. ↓, Desogus J. ↑,
67', Casolari F. ↓, Branca S. ↑,
72', Pierozzi N. ↓, Buttaro A. ↑,
72', Vasic A. ↓, Gomes C. ↑,
81', Ranocchia F. ↓, Verre V. ↑,
86', Pandolfi L. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,
86', Desogus J. ↓, Rabbi S. ↑,
86', Le Douaron J. ↓, Henry T. ↑,
87', Henry T. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 1, Masciangelo E. ⚽,
90+3', Masciangelo E. 🟨,
90+4', Buttaro A. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Palermo will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cittadella: Angeli M. (Injury) Capradossi E. (Injury) Djibril A. (Injury) Maniero L. (Knee Injury) Negro S. (Injury) Sanogo A. (Injury) Tessiore A. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Palermo: Blin A. (Thigh Injury) Di Bartolo F. (Injury) Gomis A. (Injury) Peda P. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
26.12.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cittadella	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Cittadella - Reggiana	3:1 ✺
15.12.24	Cittadella - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Spezia - Cittadella	5:0 ✺
30.11.24	Cittadella - Juve Stabia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWTLT
- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
26.12.24	Palermo - Bari	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Sassuolo - Palermo	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Palermo - Catanzaro	1:2 ✺
07.12.24	Carrarese - Palermo	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Palermo - Spezia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
03.11.24	Palermo - Cittadella	0:1
13.01.24	Cittadella - Palermo	2:0
12.11.23	Palermo - Cittadella	0:1
11.03.23	Cittadella - Palermo	3:3
23.10.22	Palermo - Cittadella	0:0
11.05.19	Palermo - Cittadella	2:2
30.12.18	Cittadella - Palermo	0:1

Upcoming Matches