Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 20

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como)

Referee: Baroni N. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Italy	Sky Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Como		Spezia

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.8	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.9
	2	3.3	3.75	Watch
	2.02	3.4	4.24
	2.03	3.32	4.24
	1.91	3.3	3.75
	2	3.38	3.91	Watch
	1.96	3.3	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.87)	3.34 ↓ (3.45)	3.94 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
47.7%

Draw
28.3%

Spezia
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

27.3%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

27%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	13.6%	9.1%

Como - Spezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Como will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Spezia will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Semper A. (G) 5. Curto M. 26. Odenthal C. 93. Barba F. 3. Sala M. 11. Blanco A. 28. Abildgaard O. 14. Bellemo A. 33. Da Cunha L. 10. Cutrone P. 9. Gabrielloni A.	1. Zoet J. (G) 27. Amian K. 33. Gelashvili I. 43. Nikolaou D. 29. Cassata F. 25. Bandinelli F. 10. Esposito Sa. 7. Elia S. 99. Verde D. 48. Antonucci M. 9. Esposito F.
Substitutes
21. Arrigoni T. 8. Baselli D. 84. Cassandro T. 27. Cerri A. 7. Chajia M. 44. Ioannou N. 6. Iovine A. 32. Rispoli F. 34. Ronco D. 4. Solini M. 90. Verdi S. 22. Vigorito M. (G)	77. Bertola N. 36. Candelari P. 11. Cipot T. 21. Corradini G. 26. Cugnata C. 69. Dragowski B. (G) 19. Krollis R. 24. Moro L. 15. Pietra N. 14. Vignali L. 40. Zovko P. (G)
Coaches
Roberts O.	D'Angelo L.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Como is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Spezia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Como will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Como won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Como won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Italian Serie B
26.12.23	Nuova Cosenza - Como	1:2 ✺
23.12.23	Como - Palermo	3:3 ✺
16.12.23	Brescia - Como	2:0 ✺
10.12.23	Como - Modena	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Como	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTLWW
- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
26.12.23	Spezia - Modena	1:1 ✺
23.12.23	Cittadella - Spezia	4:1 ✺
15.12.23	Spezia - Bari	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	Ascoli - Spezia	1:2 ✺
02.12.23	Spezia - Parma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
03.09.23	Spezia - Como	0:1
Coppa Italia
06.08.22	Spezia - Como	5:1
Italian Serie B
15.05.16	Como - Spezia	4:0
23.12.15	Spezia - Como	1:1

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