Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 10

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Sandro Cabassi (Carpi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254


	Carpi		Lucchese

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.25	2.15
	2.95	3.25	2.3	Watch
	3.18	3.25	2.33
	3.21	3.08	2.33
	3	3.25	2.15
	3.02	3.2	2.2	Watch
	2.95	3.25	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.52)	3.22 ↑ (2.6)	2.25 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carpi
30.5%

Draw
28.6%

Lucchese
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

34.8%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

35.5%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carpi's form might have worsened.

Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucchese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carpi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucchese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Carpi - Lucchese Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lucchese will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sorzi M. (G) 13. Panelli T. 6. Zagnoni D. 19. Rossini M. 16. Tcheuna R. 21. Forapani M. 90. Figoli M. 30. Contiliano N. 2. Verza N. 10. Saporetti S. (C) 27. Gerbi E.	22. Palmisani L. (G) 13. Fazzi N. 33. Sabbione A. 4. Dumbravanu D. 14. Quirini E. 31. Catanese G. 24. Welbeck N. 8. Tumbarello G. 21. Visconti E. 70. Saporiti E. 90. Costantino R.
Substitutes
11. Amayah P. 5. Calanca A. 3. Cecotti T. 12. Lorenzi C. (G) 33. Mazzali S. 8. Nardi N. 22. Pezzolato M. (G) 23. Sall A. 17. Sereni M. 7. Stanzani L. 15. Zoboletti A.	12. Allegrucci L. (G) 23. Botrini T. 26. Cartano R. 1. Coletta J. (G) 7. Djibril M. 5. Frison F. 30. Gemignani A. 38. Leone M. 9. Magnaghi S. 71. Moschella M. 17. Mozzillo M. 11. Ndiaye B. 18. Sasanelli L. 10. Selvini A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Catanese G. 🟨,
17', Figoli M. 🟨,
19', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Tumbarello G. 🟨,
58', Verza N. ↓, Cecotti T. ↑,
74', Costantino R. ↓, Magnaghi S. ↑,
75', Saporiti E. ↓, Djibril M. ↑,
75', Figoli M. ↓, Amayah P. ↑,
75', Rossini M. ↓, Calanca A. ↑,
83', Gerbi E. ↓, Sall A. ↑,
84', Fazzi N. 🟨,
89', Quirini E. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 12).

Carpi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lucchese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lucchese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lucchese will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
13.10.24	Pianese - Carpi	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Carpi - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
30.09.24	Pescara - Carpi	2:1 ✺
26.09.24	Carpi - Ascoli	2:2 ✺
23.09.24	SPAL - Carpi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLTL
- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
11.10.24	Lucchese - Sestri Levante	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Perugia - Lucchese	4:0 ✺
30.09.24	Lucchese - Milan Futuro	1:1 ✺
25.09.24	Lucchese - Pianese	3:3 ✺
22.09.24	Ascoli - Lucchese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLTTW

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