Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 2 June 2025, Monday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, RAI Italia, RaiPlay, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
World	FIFA+


	Ternana		Pescara

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.25	3	3.3
	2.37	2.99	3.42
	2.34	2.92	3.39	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.1
	2.36	2.86	3.26	Watch
	2.19	3.05	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.28)	2.96 ↓ (3.07)	3.27 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
40.6%

Draw
31.2%

Pescara
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

30.2%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

31.2%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Pescara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Pescara aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	47.4%	15.8%

Ternana - Pescara Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Pescara will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ternana (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Ternana (1.91) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - Pescara (2.37) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Ternana (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Pescara (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Vannucchi G. (G) 20. Donati F. 19. Capuano M. 87. Martella B. 15. Casasola T. 17. Aloi S. 4. Vallocchia A. 3. Tito F. 21. Curcio A. 10. Cicerelli E. 9. Ferrante A.	22. Plizzari A. (G) 27. Moruzzi B. 2. Letizia G. 79. Lancini E. 77. Pierozzi E. 8. Dagasso M. 6. Squizzato N. 7. Meazzi L. 20. Bentivegna A. 10. Merola D. 21. Ferraris A.
Substitutes
56. Bellavigna M. 72. Ciammaglichella A. 71. Cianci P. 5. Corradini G. 30. Damiani S. 99. Donnarumma A. 2. Fazzi N. 13. Maestrelli A. 7. Millico V. 18. Montenegro L. 65. Passador P. (G) 70. Romeo F. 14. Valenti M. 1. Vitali T. (G)	9. Alberti T. 40. Arena A. 13. Brosco R. 11. Cangiano G. 16. Crialese C. 28. De Marco A. 5. Kraja E. 26. Lonardi L. 23. Pellacani F. 12. Profeta N. (G) 30. Saccomanni G. 1. Saio I. (G) 25. Staver C. 15. Tonin R. 14. Valzania L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Vallocchia A. 🟥,
17', Squizzato N. 🟨,
19', Curcio A. ↓, Fazzi N. ↑,
19', Squizzato N. ↓, Kraja E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bentivegna A. ↓, Cangiano G. ↑,
46', Ferrante A. ↓, Cianci P. ↑,
55', Merola D. 🟨,
57', 0 - 1, Letizia G. ⚽,
70', Meazzi L. ↓, Valzania L. ↑,
70', Ferraris A. ↓, Tonin R. ↑,
81', Dagasso M. ↓, De Marco A. ↑,
82', Cicerelli E. ↓, Millico V. ↑,
84', Cianci P. 🟨,
88', Valzania L. 🟨,
90+3', Millico V. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 0.

In recent matches, Ternana has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pescara is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ternana is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ternana won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
28.05.25	Ternana - Vicenza Virtus	3:1 ✺
25.05.25	Vicenza Virtus - Ternana	0:0 ✺
21.05.25	Ternana - Giana Erminio	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Giana Erminio - Ternana	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
27.04.25	Virtus Entella - Ternana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWLT
- Pescara
Italian Serie C Group A
28.05.25	Pescara - Audace Cerignola	1:1 ✺
25.05.25	Audace Cerignola - Pescara	1:4 ✺
21.05.25	Pescara - Vis Pesaro	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Vis Pesaro - Pescara	2:4 ✺
14.05.25	Pescara - Catania	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
22.12.24	Pescara - Ternana	0:0
23.08.24	Ternana - Pescara	1:2
Club Friendly
16.09.20	Pescara - Ternana	1:0
Italian Serie B
28.04.18	Ternana - Pescara	0:3
02.12.17	Pescara - Ternana	3:3
26.03.16	Ternana - Pescara	1:0
07.11.15	Pescara - Ternana	1:2

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