Match Info
Serie C - Group B - Round 33Date: 20 March 2026, FridayLocation: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia |
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Ternana |
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Sambenedettese |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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1.66 |
3.3 |
4.6 |
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1.68 |
3.45 |
4.95 |
Watch |
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1.65 |
3.48 |
5.38 |
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1.65 |
3.44 |
5.26 |
Watch |
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1.65 |
3.1 |
5 |
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1.6 |
3.46 |
5.34 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(1.66) |
3.37 ↓
(3.69) |
5.09 ↑
(4.71) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ternana
55.2% | Draw
27% | Sambenedettese
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+2.7%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Sambenedettese will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
71.  D'Alterio F. (G)
87. Martella B.
19. Capuano M. (C)
20. Donati F.
17.  Kerrigan L.
8. McJannet E.
23.  Majer Z.
4. Vallocchia A.
43.  Ndrecka A.
18. Panico G.
27. Ferrante A.
| 22. Cultraro G. (G)
4. Zini A.
98. Lepri T.
21. Dalmazzi A.
80. Piccoli M.
18. Candellori K.
97. Maspero A.
7. Marranzino P.
27. Stoppa M.
11. Parigini V.
9. Eusepi U. (C)
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| Substitutes |
22. Aramu M.
38. Bruti T.
2. Kurti A.
10. Leonardi S.
14. Meccariello B.
12. Morlupo A. (G)
30. Orellana M.
3. Pagliari M.
32. Pettinari S.
80. Proietti M.
5. Tripi F.
1. Vitali T. (G)
| 24. Alfieri V.
8. Bongelli R.
5. Chelli M.
32. Chiatante F.
30. Gigante G.
47.  Konate A.
82. Lonardo E.
6. Lulli L.
70. Martins K.
1. Orsini T. (G)
17. Pezzola L.
34. Ponzanetti M. (G)
37.  Toure M.
15. Zoboletti A.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Kerrigan L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Marranzino P. ↓, Bongelli R. ↑,
- 58', Dalmazzi A. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 0, Panico G. ⚽,
- 65', Maspero A. ↓, Toure M. ↑,
- 69', Panico G. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
- 78', Majer Z. ↓, Tripi F. ↑,
- 79', Parigini V. ↓, Martins K. ↑,
- 86', Capuano M. ↓, Kurti A. ↑,
- 86', Kerrigan L. ↓, Meccariello B. ↑,
- 86', Ferrante A. ↓, Aramu M. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Zini A. ⚽,
- 89', Stoppa M. ↓, Pezzola L. ↑,
- 90+4', Donati F. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).In recent matches, Ternana has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Sambenedettese is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Ternana is seen as the favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).Including home match between the teams, Ternana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
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Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Ternana | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:32 | 6 | 44 |
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| 17 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 25:34 | -9 | 31 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie C Group B | | | 15.11.25 | Sambenedettese - Ternana | 0:0 | | 06.03.19 | Ternana - Sambenedettese | 0:0 | | 23.02.19 | Sambenedettese - Ternana | 2:0 |
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