Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 31

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251


	Ternana		Gubbio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.45	5.15	Watch
	1.64	3.4	5.78
	1.63	3.39	5.62	Watch
	1.62	3.1	5
	1.6	3.3	5.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.73)	3.33 ↑ (3.21)	5.46 ↑ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ternana
56%

Draw
27.4%

Gubbio
16.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.8%

28.5%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

28%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Ternana - Gubbio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. D'Alterio F. (G) 20. Donati F. 2. Kurti A. 3. Pagliari M. 17. Kerrigan L. 23. Majer Z. 8. McJannet E. 43. Ndrecka A. 16. Garetto M. 9. Dubickas E. 27. Ferrante A.	12. Krapikas T. (G) 23. Bruscagin M. 15. Signorini A. 5. Di Bitonto A. 27. Podda L. 6. Varone I. 8. Rosaia G. 21. Carraro F. 29. Murru N. 73. Ghirardello T. 77. Minta A.
Substitutes
22. Aramu M. 36. Delibra L. (G) 10. Leonardi S. 42. Lodovici R. 87. Martella B. 14. Meccariello B. 12. Morlupo A. (G) 30. Orellana M. 18. Panico G. 80. Proietti M. 5. Tripi F.	1. Bagnolini N. (G) 4. Baroncelli L. 40. Costa G. 10. Di Massimo A. 82. Djankpata H. 17. Fazzi N. 19. La Mantia A. 11. Mastropietro F. 3. Tentardini A. 56. Tomasella M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Ghirardello T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Majer Z. 🟨,
60', Ferrante A. 🟨,
61', Ferrante A. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
61', Majer Z. ↓, Orellana M. ↑,
61', Ndrecka A. ↓, Martella B. ↑,
70', Signorini A. ↓, Baroncelli L. ↑,
70', Minta A. ↓, Di Massimo A. ↑,
70', Kurti A. ↓, Tripi F. ↑,
77', Carraro F. ↓, Fazzi N. ↑,
86', Garetto M. ↓, Aramu M. ↑,
87', Murru N. ↓, Tentardini A. ↑,
87', Ghirardello T. ↓, La Mantia A. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Ternana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ternana is a strong favorite.

We predict that Ternana will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ternana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Gubbio	10	2	1	7	10:20	-10	7

Last Results with these Odds

Ternana - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 52.78%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
04.03.26	Arezzo - Ternana	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Ternana - Campobasso	2:4 ✺
23.02.26	Ternana - Forlì	2:1 ✺
16.02.26	Pineto - Ternana	0:3 ✺
12.02.26	Ternana - Ravenna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLWWW
- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
04.03.26	Gubbio - Carpi	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Gubbio - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Pontedera - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
12.02.26	Gubbio - Vis Pesaro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
02.11.25	Gubbio - Ternana	3:3
11.01.25	Ternana - Gubbio	2:1
07.09.24	Gubbio - Ternana	0:0
Club Friendly
10.09.20	Gubbio - Ternana	1:0
01.08.19	Gubbio - Ternana	2:1
Italian Serie C Group B
11.03.19	Gubbio - Ternana	1:1
11.11.18	Ternana - Gubbio	3:0

Upcoming Matches