Match Info

Serie B - Round 19

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Marco Druso (Bolzano)

Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Südtirol-Alto Adige		Spezia

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.35	3.2	3
	2.18	3	3.45	Watch
	2.15	3.22	3.48	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.3
	2.25	3.02	3.43	Watch
	2.14	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.21)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	3.43 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Südtirol-Alto Adige
42.3%

Draw
30.5%

Spezia
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

29.5%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

29.9%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	13.3%	40%

Südtirol Alto Adige - Spezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Spezia will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Südtirol: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spezia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Spezia (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Spezia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Adamonis M. (G) 94. El Kaouakibi H. 28. Kofler R. 34. Veseli F. 79. Molina S. 21. Tait F. 18. Tronchin S. 17. Casiraghi D. 7. Zedadka K. 33. Merkaj S. 9. Pecorino E.	22. Radunovic B. (G) 2. Wisniewski P. 55. Hristov P. 11. Beruatto P. 32. Vignali L. 29. Cassata F. 8. Nagy A. 80. Kouda R. 31. Aurelio G. 20. Di Serio G. 99. Vlahovic V.
Substitutes
3. Bordon F. 46. Brik D. 23. Davi F. 26. Frigerio M. R. 8. Mallamo A. 4. Mancini D. 90. Odogwu R. 19. Pietrangeli N. 1. Poluzzi G. (G) 13. Sabatini C. 62. Theiner D. (G) 99. Verdi S.	70. Adamo E. 9. Artistico G. 23. Candela A. 36. Candelari P. 34. Comotto C. 6. Fellipe Jack 10. Lapadula G. 12. Mascardi D. (G) 37. Mateju A. 26. Onofri M. 17. Sernicola L. 27. Soleri E.
Coaches
Castori F.	Donadoni R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', Vignali L. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Vlahovic V. ⚽, Nagy A. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Pecorino E. ⚽, Casiraghi D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 1, Kofler R. ⚽,
60', Vlahovic V. ↓, Artistico G. ↑,
61', Vignali L. ↓, Sernicola L. ↑,
62', Tait F. ↓, Davi F. ↑,
73', Aurelio G. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
73', Nagy A. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,
73', Zedadka K. ↓, Pietrangeli N. ↑,
74', Pecorino E. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
78', Tronchin S. ↓, Bordon F. ↑,
78', Casiraghi D. ↓, Frigerio M. R. ↑,
80', Merkaj S. 🟨,
82', Di Serio G. ↓, Lapadula G. ↑,
87', Adamo E. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 15)

Recent form of Südtirol has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Spezia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Südtirol could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Südtirol: Davi S. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Spezia: Sarr M. (Ankle Injury) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Südtirol: Martini J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Spezia: Bandinelli F. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Südtirol won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sudtirol	6	3	3	0	9:3	6	12

Last Results with these Odds

Südtirol-Alto Adige - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.45%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
27.12.25	Juve Stabia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Virtus Entella - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Bari	0:0 ✺
08.12.25	Monza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Avellino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTTTL
- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
27.12.25	Spezia - Pescara	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Frosinone - Spezia	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Spezia - Modena	0:2 ✺
08.12.25	Virtus Entella - Spezia	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Spezia - Sampdoria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
28.02.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Spezia	1:1
24.11.24	Spezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:0
09.03.24	Spezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1
20.08.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Spezia	3:3

Südtirol-Alto Adige - Spezia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide