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Current Win Probability
Teruel 24.1%
Draw 29.2%
Alcorcón 46.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
23.6%
27.5%
48.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.6%
27.4%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Teruel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Teruel - Alcorcón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Zarco A. (G) 2. Borge A. 15. Lopez A. 6. Nicholas N. 3. de Diego J. 10. Redon H. 14. Relu (C) 16. Albisua H. 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. 7. Moreno S. 21. Sese M.
13. Banuz M. (G) 22. Irurita X. 3. Gaixas A. 5. Lancho J. 17. Cuesta M. 20. Berlanga M. 6. Rivera P. 10. Vacas L. 11. Ouhdadi O. 7. Aparicio E. (C) 9. Davo
Substitutes
18. Belevonis C. 24. Boriko S. 4. Felipe P. 5. Goyo Medina 28. Igual C. 22. Llacer L. 1. Palop A. (G) 8. Romera M.
35. Arcos D. 8. Caravaca T. 30. Di Domenico N. 2. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 23. Ibanez R. 16. Manzanara F. 1. Marti O. (G) 4. Mayorga A. 18. Melero G. 19. Palmer D. 24. Perez L. 21. Sabina F.
Coaches
Ramirez Kiko
Justo F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Rivera P. 🟨,
31', Aparicio E. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, de Diego J. ⚽, Gallardo Rodriguez E. (A),
45+7', Redon H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rivera P. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
61', Redon H. ↓, Boriko S. ↑,
62', Gallardo Rodriguez E. 🟨,
63', Cuesta M. 🟨,
72', Davo 🟨,
77', Borge A. 🟨,
78', Davo ↓, Sabina F. ↑,
78', Berlanga M. ↓, Ibanez R. ↑,
78', Gaixas A. ↓, Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↑,
79', Lancho J. 🟨,
87', Gallardo Rodriguez E. ↓, Goyo Medina ↑,
87', Moreno S. ↓, Romera M. ↑,
90+4', Sese M. ↓, Felipe P. ↑,
90+5', Albisua H. 🟨,
90+6', Melero G. 🟨,
90+7', Relu 🟨,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 19th in the Relegation and 3rd in the Promotion - Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).
Teruel has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Alcorcón shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Alcorcón carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Teruel has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:5 (averaging 0.7:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Teruel against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:3 goals (averaging 0.5:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Alcorcon
9
3
5
1
17:9
8
14
20
Teruel
9
1
3
5
4:15
-11
6
Last Results with these Odds
Teruel - the odds 3.94 are the expected chance of winning is 23.59%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.