Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 11

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Teruel		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.7	2.3
	2.9	2.75	2.37
	2.95	2.95	2.5	Watch
	3.16	2.85	2.56
	3.16	2.82	2.54
	3.06	2.91	2.43
	3.1	2.85	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.8)	2.83 ↓ (2.9)	2.43 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Teruel
29.9%

Draw
32.4%

Ponferradina
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

31.3%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

32%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Teruel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Teruel - Ponferradina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Konate T. (G) 2. Carmona F. 4. Cabetas E. 5. Gaixas A. 23. Pascual A. 10. Aparicio D. 8. Tena 14. Castillo N. 7. Ahn June Hyuk 30. Alastuey J. 9. Buenacasa A.	1. Prieto A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 4. Sibille K. 15. Leal A. 19. Lopez A. 7. Gomez E. 16. Lozano M. 12. Claveria P. 6. Igbekeme J. 20. Javi Lancho 10. Yuri
Substitutes
17. Correia R. 21. Facu 18. Gabarre A. 3. Hualde J. 11. Martinez B. 13. Rodriguez Heredia N. (G) 6. Romero B. 15. Sanchis V. 20. Sierra I. 19. Villanueva D.	26. Aussi A. 14. Cerda J. 11. Dacosta R. 2. Diez A. 5. Fernandez J. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 3. Jimenez N. 8. Llonch P. 21. Palanca

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Teruel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Teruel
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Egüés - Teruel	1:0 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.10.23	Cornellà - Teruel	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Teruel - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
15.10.23	Barcelona B - Teruel	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Teruel - Arenteiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTTLT
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Barbastro - Ponferradina	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.10.23	Ponferradina - Leonesa	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Real Unión de Irun - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Ponferradina - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLTTT

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