Match Info

USL League One

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Sherman Bearcat Stadium (Sherman, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Texoma		Chattanooga Red Wolves

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.02
	3.23	3.35	2.16
	3.20	2.92	2.38	Watch
	3.19	3.28	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (3.1)	3.21 ↓ (3.29)	2.16 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Texoma
28.9%

Draw
28.6%

Chattanooga Red Wolves
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

28%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

27.1%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Texoma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Chattanooga Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Texoma than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Texoma - Chattanooga Red Wolves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia J. (C) 30. Jawneh L. 12. Chavez J. 5. Calfo A. 4. Kilwien P. 22. Perkins W. 10. Spengler P. 7. McManus B. 3. Ramos O. 8. McCormick L. 23. Baker T.	1. Smith J. (C) 23. Lelin Y. 16. Gomez O. 4. Watters D. 22. Kinzner E. 5. Ayimbila J. 17. Hernandez O. 6. Wessels W. 8. Ualefi 10. Bentley M. 14. Hernandez P.
Substitutes
25. Iamarino D. 24. Jordan J. 1. McCready M. (G) 15. Mfanafikile D. 35. Padilla B. 9. Pepi D. 2. Valentine R.	18. Green O. 12. Jerez R. (G) 30. Lombardi A. 15. Mercer G. 9. Vazquez Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Watters D. ⚽, Wessels W. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Spengler P. 🟨,
54', Bentley M. (Pen),
55', Chavez J. 🟨,
66', Hernandez O. ↓, Vazquez Z. ↑,
66', Hernandez P. ↓, Mercer G. ↑,
66', Bentley M. ↓, Lombardi A. ↑,
69', McManus B. ↓, Jordan J. ↑,
69', Jawneh L. ↓, Pepi D. ↑,
79', Kilwien P. ↓, Padilla B. ↑,
82', Gomez O. ↓, Green O. ↑,
83', Green O. 🟨,
84', Perkins W. 🟨,
89', Watters D. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).

Texoma has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chattanooga is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Texoma has had a series of away games.

Chattanooga could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Texoma won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Texoma FC
USL League One
09.08.25	Naples - Texoma	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Charlotte Independence - Texoma	3:3 ✺
USL Cup
26.07.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Texoma	3:0 ✺
23.07.25	Union Omaha - Texoma	3:1 ✺
USL League One
16.07.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Texoma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTLLT
- Chattanooga Red Wolves
USL League One
09.08.25	Union Omaha - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:2 ✺
06.08.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Forward Madison	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Westchester SC - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:3 ✺
USL Cup
26.07.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - One Knoxville	1:0 ✺
USL League One
19.07.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Spokane Velocity	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
16.07.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Texoma	1:1

Texoma - Chattanooga Red Wolves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide